St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Odds

August 17, 2026 · Andre Pallante vs Rhett Lowder · 77°F

2.8% edge · Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals win

49.4%

Cincinnati Reds win

50.6%

Fair line (home)

-103

Proj. total

10.66

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

St. Louis Cardinals (mean 5.43)Cincinnati Reds (mean 5.23)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.66

Over

54.5%

Under

35.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
St. Louis Cardinals	49.4%	-114	+103
Cincinnati Reds	50.6%	+105	-103

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	5.0	.834	.193	.008	.196	.523	.759	.284	.374	.468	.842
Iván Herrera	4.8	.806	.182	.013	.209	.590	.819	.292	.397	.494	.891
Alec Burleson	4.8	.823	.203	.012	.239	.391	.638	.296	.360	.515	.876
Jordan Walker	4.6	.726	.204	.010	.244	.378	1.112	.281	.345	.507	.853
Joshua Báez	4.5	.602	.166	.025	.220	.342	1.253	.246	.313	.459	.771
Nathan Church	4.4	.774	.161	.020	.131	.297	.712	.267	.324	.413	.737
Masyn Winn	4.3	.737	.185	.020	.114	.339	.720	.270	.335	.414	.749
Bryan Torres	4.2	.753	.157	.019	.080	.498	.725	.276	.366	.394	.760
Blaze Jordan	4.1	.678	.199	.015	.142	.253	.540	.273	.324	.446	.770

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Elly De La Cruz	4.7	.802	.222	.054	.187	.492	1.010	.300	.378	.512	.890
Sal Stewart	4.6	.784	.245	.004	.195	.463	.746	.298	.373	.501	.874
JJ Bleday	4.5	.627	.219	.018	.207	.586	.783	.274	.372	.498	.871
Eugenio Suárez	4.4	.605	.179	.005	.246	.405	1.108	.263	.341	.498	.839
Michael Toglia	4.3	.560	.161	.015	.191	.439	1.200	.242	.324	.441	.765
Matt McLain	4.2	.637	.192	.006	.131	.460	.917	.262	.351	.424	.775
Héctor Rodríguez	4.1	.714	.170	.026	.153	.263	.686	.279	.330	.458	.789
Jose Trevino	4.0	.731	.185	.005	.100	.241	.495	.275	.324	.409	.733
TJ Friedl	3.9	.663	.141	.018	.099	.389	.589	.271	.358	.411	.769

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections