Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Odds

September 6, 2026 · Kyle Harrison vs Brady Singer · 80°F

4.0% edge · Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers win

52.6%

Cincinnati Reds win

47.4%

Fair line (home)

+111

Proj. total

10.48

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 5.47)Cincinnati Reds (mean 5.01)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

10.48

Over

63.1%

Under

36.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	52.6%	-137	-111
Cincinnati Reds	47.4%	+126	+111

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Kyle Harrison LHP · Milwaukee Brewers	4.6	5.6	4.5	1.8	2.5
Brady Singer RHP · Cincinnati Reds	5.1	4.8	5.7	2.0	3.0

Strikeout ladder

Kyle Harrison4+ 82%6+ 49%8+ 19%

Brady Singer4+ 72%6+ 35%8+ 11%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sal Frelick	5.0	.938	.210	.016	.126	.398	.623	.287	.352	.424	.776
Christian Yelich	4.8	.768	.181	.013	.224	.507	1.127	.277	.360	.483	.843
Jackson Chourio	4.7	.793	.231	.014	.276	.323	.944	.301	.353	.550	.903
Jake Bauers	4.6	.593	.158	.017	.289	.611	1.193	.268	.373	.536	.908
Garrett Mitchell	4.5	.670	.195	.025	.179	.475	1.309	.269	.355	.466	.821
Brice Turang	4.4	.713	.183	.018	.163	.463	.954	.275	.355	.456	.810
Cooper Pratt	4.3	.688	.148	.035	.124	.380	.789	.257	.332	.410	.741
Bo Naylor	4.2	.469	.161	.014	.224	.394	1.057	.230	.308	.459	.767
David Hamilton	4.1	.584	.140	.024	.137	.337	.933	.238	.307	.399	.706

Cincinnati Reds — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Dane Myers	4.6	.738	.152	.006	.166	.398	1.256	.253	.324	.410	.735
Elly De La Cruz	4.5	.651	.180	.032	.241	.433	1.299	.271	.346	.509	.855
Sal Stewart	4.4	.635	.184	.002	.296	.397	1.014	.280	.350	.550	.900
Tyler Stephenson	4.3	.572	.169	.005	.196	.466	1.264	.247	.336	.449	.784
Eugenio Suárez	4.2	.441	.126	.003	.309	.391	1.411	.234	.318	.517	.835
JJ Bleday	4.1	.467	.148	.013	.243	.521	1.002	.245	.345	.498	.843
Matt McLain	4.0	.485	.148	.004	.173	.413	1.184	.229	.319	.420	.739
Juan Brito	3.9	.497	.151	.010	.121	.347	.941	.223	.301	.377	.678
Héctor Rodríguez	3.8	.550	.129	.023	.224	.225	.862	.264	.314	.506	.820

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections