Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Odds

September 17, 2026 · Justin Wrobleski vs Brady Singer · 92°F

2.0% edge · Cincinnati Reds

Los Angeles Dodgers win

58.8%

Cincinnati Reds win

41.2%

Fair line (home)

+143

Proj. total

10.76

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.99)Cincinnati Reds (mean 4.78)

Totals

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

10.76

Over

55.5%

Under

44.5%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	58.8%	-163	-143
Cincinnati Reds	41.2%	+150	+143

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Justin Wrobleski LHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	5.2	4.9	5.5	1.6	2.8
Brady Singer RHP · Cincinnati Reds	5.1	4.3	5.9	2.0	3.2

Strikeout ladder

Justin Wrobleski4+ 73%6+ 37%8+ 12%

Brady Singer4+ 63%6+ 26%8+ 6%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Tommy Edman	5.0	.846	.194	.031	.182	.316	.902	.274	.335	.449	.783
Freddie Freeman	4.9	.863	.248	.015	.236	.500	.807	.316	.396	.544	.940
Kyle Tucker	4.8	.709	.179	.026	.280	.616	.713	.289	.386	.548	.934
Teoscar Hernández	4.7	.722	.195	.017	.309	.343	1.156	.290	.349	.559	.907
Max Muncy	4.6	.525	.149	.012	.326	.625	1.044	.261	.374	.559	.933
Josue De Paula	4.5	.694	.191	.013	.207	.443	.850	.277	.355	.488	.843
Hunter Feduccia	4.4	.641	.159	.015	.136	.455	1.069	.246	.330	.400	.729
Alex Freeland	4.2	.613	.157	.019	.164	.410	1.095	.252	.332	.433	.765
Miguel Rojas	4.1	.773	.199	.004	.116	.263	.487	.286	.338	.430	.768

Cincinnati Reds — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Dane Myers	4.6	.785	.166	.004	.159	.364	1.137	.264	.330	.418	.748
Elly De La Cruz	4.5	.671	.192	.030	.244	.401	1.205	.278	.347	.519	.866
Sal Stewart	4.4	.670	.184	.003	.279	.364	.925	.283	.347	.539	.886
Tyler Stephenson	4.3	.589	.171	.004	.201	.421	1.185	.251	.330	.454	.784
Juan Brito	4.2	.581	.168	.011	.137	.343	.921	.235	.305	.392	.697
Matt McLain	4.1	.522	.153	.005	.184	.399	1.125	.236	.318	.431	.749
Héctor Rodríguez	4.0	.583	.142	.026	.243	.220	.848	.266	.311	.513	.824
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3.9	.628	.135	.022	.115	.256	.801	.251	.306	.397	.703
TJ Friedl	3.8	.548	.115	.017	.134	.362	.737	.245	.334	.412	.745

Data notes: game-time temp 92F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections