Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Odds

July 22, 2026 · Bailey Ober vs Slade Cecconi · 70°F

4.2% edge · Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins win

48.4%

Cleveland Guardians win

51.6%

Fair line (home)

-107

Proj. total

8.38

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.27)Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.11)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.38

Over

45.2%

Under

46.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	48.4%	+122	+107
Cleveland Guardians	51.6%	-132	-107

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trevor Larnach	4.8	.750	.189	.015	.149	.468	1.012	.260	.338	.416	.754
Brooks Lee	4.7	.771	.171	.022	.147	.274	.741	.256	.305	.407	.712
Kody Clemens	4.5	.592	.179	.039	.217	.288	1.017	.244	.299	.460	.759
Josh Bell	4.4	.676	.152	.013	.158	.384	.862	.250	.321	.412	.733
Royce Lewis	4.3	.613	.179	.004	.192	.310	.967	.248	.306	.439	.745
Victor Caratini	4.2	.703	.127	.006	.128	.302	.773	.252	.322	.389	.711
Alan Roden	4.1	.660	.172	.015	.097	.368	.775	.257	.335	.392	.726
Luke Keaschall	4.0	.705	.175	.012	.067	.356	.633	.268	.346	.380	.725
Alex Jackson	3.9	.468	.156	.010	.128	.217	1.218	.211	.264	.366	.630

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.5	.897	.175	.023	.077	.379	.390	.283	.348	.393	.740
José Ramírez	4.4	.707	.212	.013	.213	.368	.504	.284	.348	.501	.849
Chase DeLauter	4.3	.777	.203	.016	.163	.325	.592	.291	.347	.473	.820
Brayan Rocchio	4.2	.701	.183	.028	.106	.272	.664	.261	.320	.405	.725
Travis Bazzana	4.1	.597	.187	.024	.110	.394	.931	.248	.327	.401	.729
Kyle Manzardo	4.0	.516	.147	.017	.192	.345	.995	.240	.313	.448	.760
Daniel Schneemann	3.9	.539	.168	.008	.105	.311	.990	.229	.294	.369	.663
Patrick Bailey	3.8	.574	.125	.022	.089	.244	.932	.230	.284	.354	.639
Petey Halpin	3.7	.555	.140	.028	.073	.203	.923	.231	.278	.352	.630

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections