Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Odds

July 23, 2026 · Taj Bradley vs Gavin Williams · 73°F

4.5% edge · Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins win

46.9%

Cleveland Guardians win

53.1%

Fair line (home)

-113

Proj. total

8.4

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.15)Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.25)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.4

Over

53.1%

Under

46.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	46.9%	+131	+113
Cleveland Guardians	53.1%	-143	-113

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brooks Lee	4.8	.739	.163	.022	.146	.357	.957	.243	.304	.389	.693
Byron Buxton	4.7	.549	.185	.027	.249	.392	1.387	.239	.311	.472	.783
Ryan Jeffers	4.6	.615	.180	.010	.156	.529	1.055	.243	.342	.411	.753
Josh Bell	4.5	.625	.144	.012	.140	.472	1.030	.233	.320	.382	.702
Kody Clemens	4.3	.531	.161	.031	.170	.347	1.149	.225	.294	.410	.705
Royce Lewis	4.2	.543	.163	.004	.171	.362	1.117	.229	.299	.407	.706
Austin Martin	4.1	.660	.169	.009	.033	.534	.853	.246	.353	.327	.680
Luke Keaschall	4.0	.666	.170	.013	.057	.447	.749	.258	.353	.363	.715
Ryan Kreidler	3.9	.464	.127	.018	.075	.426	1.302	.198	.293	.311	.603

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.6	.875	.181	.025	.069	.502	.474	.281	.363	.387	.750
José Ramírez	4.5	.710	.203	.014	.197	.478	.601	.281	.362	.487	.849
Chase DeLauter	4.4	.751	.210	.017	.145	.422	.708	.284	.355	.455	.810
Brayan Rocchio	4.3	.705	.178	.029	.088	.361	.761	.258	.330	.386	.716
Travis Bazzana	4.2	.582	.181	.021	.096	.506	1.026	.241	.339	.381	.720
Rhys Hoskins	4.1	.473	.143	.005	.155	.522	1.199	.221	.329	.396	.725
Kyle Manzardo	4.0	.481	.143	.015	.165	.430	1.073	.229	.320	.419	.738
Patrick Bailey	3.9	.574	.121	.023	.075	.314	1.061	.224	.291	.335	.627
Petey Halpin	3.8	.551	.141	.029	.069	.269	1.029	.228	.288	.346	.634

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections