New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Odds

August 6, 2026 · Nolan McLean vs Foster Griffin · 83°F

0.6% edge · New York Mets

New York Mets win

47.5%

Cleveland Guardians win

52.5%

Fair line (home)

-110

Proj. total

7.93

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Mets (mean 3.95)Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.98)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.93

Over

48.2%

Under

51.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Mets	47.5%	+109	+110
Cleveland Guardians	52.5%	-118	-110

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Francisco Lindor	4.7	.706	.176	.018	.182	.336	.893	.255	.325	.433	.759
Bo Bichette	4.6	.850	.207	.013	.140	.246	.808	.282	.326	.433	.759
Luis Robert Jr.	4.5	.623	.169	.006	.175	.313	1.247	.237	.298	.408	.706
Carson Benge	4.4	.709	.162	.024	.127	.320	.963	.256	.319	.404	.722
Francisco Alvarez	4.3	.568	.146	.009	.200	.334	1.122	.237	.306	.434	.740
Marcus Semien	4.2	.613	.140	.012	.134	.332	.805	.236	.303	.385	.688
Eric Wagaman	4.0	.600	.158	.019	.110	.263	.958	.236	.291	.375	.666
Luis Torrens	3.9	.574	.163	.005	.099	.236	.902	.231	.287	.360	.646
Cristian Pache	3.8	.496	.125	.019	.060	.248	1.303	.198	.257	.296	.554

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Travis Bazzana	4.6	.603	.196	.021	.094	.598	1.172	.232	.341	.364	.706
Chase DeLauter	4.5	.751	.211	.015	.137	.465	.737	.279	.358	.442	.800
José Ramírez	4.4	.670	.201	.014	.168	.495	.598	.274	.363	.465	.829
Nathaniel Lowe	4.3	.599	.147	.009	.127	.559	1.126	.239	.344	.388	.732
Angel Martínez	4.2	.627	.168	.018	.114	.247	.949	.240	.297	.381	.677
Brayan Rocchio	4.1	.647	.161	.025	.072	.374	.735	.251	.334	.369	.703
Petey Halpin	4.0	.546	.141	.030	.068	.296	1.128	.216	.280	.328	.609
Patrick Bailey	3.8	.547	.122	.021	.072	.336	1.081	.219	.294	.329	.623
Angel Genao	3.7	.606	.151	.014	.047	.324	.784	.243	.316	.339	.655

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections