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2.9% edge · San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Odds
July 3, 2026 · Logan Webb vs Ryan Feltner · 89°F
San Francisco Giants win
60.5%
Colorado Rockies win
39.6%
Fair line (home)
+153
Proj. total
11.08
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
San Francisco Giants (mean 6.26)Colorado Rockies (mean 4.81)
Totals
O/U line
11.5
Proj. total
11.08
Over
42.2%
Under
57.8%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 60.5% | -142 | -153 |
| Colorado Rockies | 39.6% | +131 | +153 |
San Francisco Giants — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 5.1 | 1.351 | .267 | .058 | .058 | .270 | .172 | .362 | .400 | .478 | .877 |
| Casey Schmitt | 5.0 | .937 | .243 | .024 | .214 | .290 | .875 | .305 | .354 | .506 | .860 |
| Heliot Ramos | 4.9 | .935 | .241 | .024 | .189 | .377 | .964 | .312 | .373 | .504 | .878 |
| Rafael Devers | 4.8 | .750 | .256 | .015 | .240 | .565 | 1.015 | .302 | .390 | .543 | .933 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 4.7 | 1.044 | .264 | .062 | .091 | .334 | .390 | .340 | .393 | .494 | .887 |
| Willy Adames | 4.6 | .708 | .229 | .016 | .203 | .471 | .935 | .284 | .363 | .498 | .861 |
| Bryce Eldridge | 4.5 | .758 | .235 | .007 | .188 | .431 | 1.068 | .298 | .370 | .501 | .872 |
| Victor Bericoto | 4.3 | .855 | .186 | .027 | .127 | .275 | .844 | .295 | .344 | .449 | .793 |
| Drew Cavanaugh | 4.2 | .700 | .199 | .009 | .107 | .413 | 1.039 | .271 | .355 | .415 | .769 |
Colorado Rockies — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy | 4.8 | .988 | .205 | .075 | .074 | .288 | .752 | .304 | .354 | .435 | .789 |
| Mickey Moniak | 4.6 | .799 | .226 | .059 | .159 | .212 | 1.049 | .283 | .321 | .469 | .791 |
| Hunter Goodman | 4.5 | .704 | .239 | .026 | .203 | .277 | 1.147 | .278 | .329 | .492 | .821 |
| TJ Rumfield | 4.4 | .841 | .216 | .015 | .100 | .332 | .758 | .291 | .352 | .427 | .779 |
| Cole Carrigg | 4.3 | .841 | .184 | .080 | .068 | .254 | .880 | .292 | .341 | .429 | .770 |
| Tyler Freeman | 4.2 | .908 | .209 | .021 | .055 | .272 | .492 | .312 | .373 | .420 | .794 |
| Edouard Julien | 4.1 | .709 | .170 | .024 | .081 | .463 | 1.074 | .272 | .359 | .400 | .760 |
| Kyle Karros | 4.0 | .751 | .230 | .014 | .055 | .364 | .830 | .292 | .363 | .410 | .772 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 3.9 | .703 | .228 | .025 | .091 | .179 | .886 | .284 | .321 | .434 | .754 |
Data notes: game-time temp 89F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections