San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Odds

July 5, 2026 · Tyler Mahle vs Tanner Gordon · 93°F

7.3% edge · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants win

58.7%

Colorado Rockies win

41.3%

Fair line (home)

+142

Proj. total

11.29

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

San Francisco Giants (mean 6.27)Colorado Rockies (mean 5.02)

O/U line

Proj. total

11.29

Over

40.8%

Under

51.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
San Francisco Giants	58.7%	-110	-142
Colorado Rockies	41.3%	+102	+142

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luis Arraez	5.1	1.337	.257	.055	.065	.228	.169	.355	.388	.472	.860
Casey Schmitt	5.0	.920	.252	.019	.236	.246	.841	.306	.348	.520	.868
Heliot Ramos	4.8	.920	.242	.028	.224	.322	.929	.316	.368	.532	.901
Rafael Devers	4.7	.754	.251	.013	.268	.483	.989	.305	.381	.561	.942
Jung Hoo Lee	4.6	1.015	.265	.064	.099	.280	.372	.335	.381	.495	.877
Willy Adames	4.5	.724	.229	.017	.225	.413	.915	.293	.362	.524	.886
Bryce Eldridge	4.4	.768	.241	.007	.203	.378	1.037	.304	.368	.520	.888
Drew Gilbert	4.3	.754	.202	.040	.133	.301	.659	.285	.343	.458	.801
Drew Cavanaugh	4.2	.714	.212	.009	.121	.359	1.005	.281	.354	.438	.792

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.8	.955	.205	.069	.102	.336	.729	.304	.361	.452	.813
Mickey Moniak	4.7	.764	.218	.057	.216	.252	1.025	.287	.331	.512	.843
Hunter Goodman	4.5	.672	.228	.023	.244	.314	1.130	.279	.335	.519	.854
TJ Rumfield	4.4	.806	.206	.016	.122	.400	.744	.290	.361	.442	.803
Troy Johnston	4.3	.820	.233	.024	.105	.290	.783	.297	.353	.447	.799
Kyle Karros	4.2	.777	.228	.015	.080	.419	.839	.292	.368	.424	.792
Edouard Julien	4.1	.686	.160	.020	.107	.536	1.058	.275	.374	.422	.796
Brett Sullivan	4.0	.663	.193	.033	.076	.269	.665	.260	.314	.391	.705
Ezequiel Tovar	3.9	.663	.227	.022	.120	.210	.864	.282	.324	.454	.778

Data notes: game-time temp 93F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections