Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Odds

August 1, 2026 · Luinder Avila vs Ryan Feltner · 91°F

1.6% edge · Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals win

49.3%

Colorado Rockies win

50.7%

Fair line (home)

-103

Proj. total

12.27

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Kansas City Royals (mean 6.23)Colorado Rockies (mean 6.04)

O/U line

Proj. total

12.27

Over

45.1%

Under

48.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Kansas City Royals	49.3%	+106	+103
Colorado Rockies	50.7%	-114	-103

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Carter Jensen	5.1	.869	.282	.020	.215	.490	1.077	.303	.373	.515	.888
Lane Thomas	5.0	.856	.282	.016	.201	.463	.992	.303	.375	.509	.884
Jac Caglianone	4.9	.868	.243	.030	.262	.374	1.004	.316	.376	.562	.939
Salvador Perez	4.8	.888	.228	.006	.257	.232	.755	.310	.354	.538	.892
Isaac Collins	4.6	.814	.247	.025	.109	.550	.839	.297	.390	.453	.843
Nick Loftin	4.5	.842	.244	.033	.118	.454	.527	.307	.385	.472	.857
Michael Massey	4.4	.882	.261	.015	.159	.216	.611	.315	.354	.499	.853
John Rave	4.3	.722	.203	.038	.141	.422	.916	.286	.360	.468	.827
Tyler Tolbert	4.2	.835	.208	.016	.066	.271	.838	.290	.344	.403	.747

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.9	.985	.212	.085	.125	.390	.694	.317	.382	.487	.869
Kyle Karros	4.8	.888	.256	.034	.119	.594	.878	.313	.406	.477	.883
TJ Rumfield	4.7	.882	.238	.017	.154	.491	.685	.313	.394	.491	.885
Hunter Goodman	4.6	.664	.234	.024	.290	.381	1.086	.293	.358	.571	.929
Mickey Moniak	4.5	.741	.205	.059	.235	.288	.926	.301	.353	.551	.905
Cole Carrigg	4.3	.812	.181	.073	.109	.373	.808	.301	.369	.468	.837
Willi Castro	4.2	.778	.188	.025	.108	.417	.854	.296	.381	.447	.828
Tyler Freeman	4.1	.880	.185	.022	.074	.351	.449	.319	.400	.444	.844
Brenton Doyle	4.0	.710	.177	.019	.136	.321	.936	.284	.346	.454	.800

Data notes: game-time temp 91F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections