Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Odds

August 17, 2026 · Blake Snell vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 91°F

5.5% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

75.8%

Colorado Rockies win

24.2%

Fair line (home)

+314

Proj. total

12.2

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 7.79)Colorado Rockies (mean 4.40)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

12.2

Over

51.2%

Under

40.5%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	75.8%	-257	-314
Colorado Rockies	24.2%	+230	+314

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	5.2	.885	.250	.060	.448	.646	.895	.360	.444	.736	1.179
Freddie Freeman	5.1	1.029	.321	.021	.265	.470	.636	.355	.421	.607	1.028
Andy Pages	5.0	.925	.283	.015	.286	.276	.725	.322	.368	.572	.939
Max Muncy	4.9	.745	.207	.018	.325	.605	.878	.305	.399	.591	.990
Mookie Betts	4.8	.918	.262	.023	.254	.427	.393	.335	.398	.580	.979
Kyle Tucker	4.7	.848	.226	.025	.262	.528	.579	.328	.408	.585	.992
Tommy Edman	4.6	.913	.209	.041	.164	.251	.639	.309	.355	.491	.846
Teoscar Hernández	4.5	.845	.233	.010	.273	.280	.889	.327	.375	.585	.959
Hunter Feduccia	4.4	.744	.208	.033	.113	.418	.911	.280	.354	.437	.790

Colorado Rockies — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.7	.795	.168	.067	.124	.400	.967	.271	.343	.430	.772
Cole Carrigg	4.6	.741	.165	.047	.121	.383	1.190	.257	.327	.406	.734
Hunter Goodman	4.5	.550	.181	.018	.276	.380	1.419	.252	.322	.509	.831
Willi Castro	4.4	.658	.168	.016	.113	.398	1.221	.246	.331	.385	.716
TJ Rumfield	4.3	.666	.174	.016	.139	.459	.905	.265	.352	.430	.783
Jordan Beck	4.2	.572	.163	.033	.130	.385	1.290	.239	.313	.403	.716
Connor Norby	4.1	.532	.161	.007	.119	.412	1.313	.227	.313	.374	.687
Ezequiel Tovar	4.0	.571	.182	.017	.136	.250	1.103	.246	.298	.416	.714
Adael Amador	3.8	.603	.129	.018	.080	.434	.758	.247	.339	.368	.707

Data notes: away starter Blake Snell: only 17 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Blake Snell: only 23 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 91F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections