Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies — Prediction & Odds

August 18, 2026 · Eric Lauer vs Ryan Feltner · 86°F

3.6% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

67.6%

Colorado Rockies win

32.4%

Fair line (home)

+209

Proj. total

12.47

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 7.40)Colorado Rockies (mean 5.07)

Totals

O/U line

11.5

Proj. total

12.47

Over

53.3%

Under

46.7%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	67.6%	-189	-209
Colorado Rockies	32.4%	+172	+209

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Eric Lauer LHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	4.8	4.1	5.7	1.4	2.9
Ryan Feltner RHP · Colorado Rockies	4.2	3.3	5.8	2.2	3.4

Strikeout ladder

Eric Lauer4+ 57%6+ 26%8+ 8%

Ryan Feltner4+ 43%6+ 14%8+ 3%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	5.2	.812	.230	.056	.400	.774	1.006	.338	.440	.686	1.126
Freddie Freeman	5.1	1.001	.303	.019	.232	.555	.755	.344	.422	.573	.995
Andy Pages	5.0	.908	.271	.017	.254	.342	.853	.314	.369	.544	.913
Max Muncy	4.9	.679	.186	.020	.295	.696	.985	.284	.394	.552	.946
Mookie Betts	4.8	.870	.254	.024	.224	.509	.449	.322	.397	.550	.948
Tommy Edman	4.7	.888	.202	.039	.152	.331	.745	.297	.354	.467	.821
Kyle Tucker	4.6	.772	.208	.023	.233	.620	.631	.315	.412	.557	.968
Teoscar Hernández	4.5	.795	.223	.011	.249	.327	1.001	.311	.367	.553	.920
Hunter Feduccia	4.4	.700	.191	.029	.097	.498	1.000	.265	.353	.406	.759

Colorado Rockies — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jake McCarthy	4.7	.864	.181	.074	.165	.328	.745	.295	.353	.485	.838
Cole Carrigg	4.6	.794	.171	.055	.155	.316	.956	.277	.334	.452	.786
Willi Castro	4.5	.742	.186	.019	.150	.349	1.008	.271	.344	.437	.780
TJ Rumfield	4.4	.734	.201	.014	.186	.404	.734	.288	.362	.487	.849
Connor Norby	4.3	.620	.182	.008	.172	.365	1.131	.254	.326	.439	.765
Mickey Moniak	4.2	.617	.180	.048	.279	.234	.965	.287	.332	.571	.903
Jordan Beck	4.1	.610	.167	.036	.170	.331	1.034	.264	.328	.465	.794
Braxton Fulford	4.0	.557	.178	.019	.154	.344	1.078	.254	.328	.443	.771
Ezequiel Tovar	3.9	.592	.200	.017	.162	.215	.888	.268	.313	.467	.780

Data notes: game-time temp 86F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections