Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

July 26, 2026 · Luinder Avila vs Framber Valdez · 84°F

3.4% edge · Detroit Tigers

Kansas City Royals win

33.6%

Detroit Tigers win

66.4%

Fair line (home)

-198

Proj. total

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Kansas City Royals (mean 3.74)Detroit Tigers (mean 5.26)

O/U line

Proj. total

Over

40.1%

Under

50.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Kansas City Royals	33.6%	+165	+198
Detroit Tigers	66.4%	-180	-198

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Lane Thomas	4.7	.706	.222	.010	.114	.422	1.108	.247	.323	.384	.707
Nick Loftin	4.6	.764	.204	.031	.075	.441	.656	.260	.341	.379	.719
Salvador Perez	4.5	.738	.182	.004	.146	.200	.876	.253	.299	.401	.700
Jac Caglianone	4.4	.696	.182	.026	.144	.311	1.081	.259	.320	.423	.743
Starling Marte	4.3	.831	.180	.013	.068	.262	.911	.275	.332	.378	.710
Isaac Collins	4.2	.644	.191	.016	.059	.442	.898	.247	.339	.356	.695
Tyler Tolbert	4.1	.706	.170	.015	.038	.253	.964	.246	.302	.329	.631
Luke Maile	4.0	.569	.154	.010	.059	.360	1.085	.222	.302	.321	.623
Andrew Velazquez	3.9	.605	.149	.009	.048	.192	1.105	.223	.267	.308	.575

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Colt Keith	4.8	.839	.204	.034	.145	.500	.771	.290	.370	.458	.828
Kevin McGonigle	4.6	.806	.214	.035	.098	.704	.538	.296	.409	.445	.854
Gleyber Torres	4.5	.796	.184	.004	.118	.650	.657	.287	.395	.429	.824
Riley Greene	4.4	.724	.211	.017	.185	.517	1.031	.294	.381	.500	.882
Dillon Dingler	4.3	.701	.209	.022	.161	.353	.847	.281	.351	.470	.822
Kerry Carpenter	4.2	.624	.150	.043	.208	.374	.930	.272	.347	.500	.847
Spencer Torkelson	4.1	.506	.177	.005	.165	.556	1.030	.245	.357	.440	.797
James Outman	4.0	.502	.139	.029	.114	.464	1.228	.226	.328	.382	.710
Hao-Yu Lee	3.9	.630	.148	.027	.086	.342	.794	.256	.330	.387	.717

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections