Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

July 27, 2026 · Kyle Bradish vs Keider Montero · 82°F

1.1% edge · Detroit Tigers

Baltimore Orioles win

47.2%

Detroit Tigers win

52.8%

Fair line (home)

-112

Proj. total

8.59

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Baltimore Orioles (mean 4.27)Detroit Tigers (mean 4.32)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.59

Over

46.9%

Under

53.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Baltimore Orioles	47.2%	+103	+112
Detroit Tigers	52.8%	-112	-112

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Dylan Beavers	4.8	.694	.197	.016	.121	.524	1.021	.244	.331	.385	.716
Pete Alonso	4.6	.616	.187	.005	.244	.446	.999	.255	.338	.480	.818
Gunnar Henderson	4.5	.683	.201	.028	.174	.413	.881	.266	.339	.456	.795
Taylor Ward	4.4	.632	.178	.009	.151	.504	.947	.249	.340	.415	.755
Leody Taveras	4.3	.684	.137	.047	.091	.302	.905	.239	.295	.364	.659
Jackson Holliday	4.2	.631	.153	.026	.111	.422	.896	.244	.325	.387	.712
Coby Mayo	4.1	.519	.179	.010	.166	.333	1.124	.233	.302	.420	.722
Jeremiah Jackson	4.0	.643	.185	.008	.126	.160	.803	.252	.287	.404	.692
Chadwick Tromp	3.9	.548	.140	.007	.077	.245	.928	.213	.266	.319	.586

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.6	.777	.217	.037	.101	.625	.672	.284	.386	.433	.819
Dillon Dingler	4.5	.704	.198	.021	.164	.315	1.071	.262	.322	.437	.759
Colt Keith	4.4	.735	.180	.028	.127	.403	.905	.269	.341	.425	.766
Riley Greene	4.3	.662	.196	.017	.177	.449	1.189	.275	.355	.474	.829
Spencer Torkelson	4.2	.494	.175	.006	.170	.493	1.232	.231	.329	.421	.751
Zach McKinstry	4.1	.611	.143	.053	.079	.411	.860	.243	.326	.377	.703
Hao-Yu Lee	4.0	.609	.153	.026	.084	.302	.976	.239	.304	.364	.668
James Outman	3.9	.448	.128	.029	.109	.391	1.386	.207	.296	.357	.653
Matt Vierling	3.8	.602	.151	.021	.083	.304	.821	.250	.316	.379	.695

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections