Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 12, 2026 · Foster Griffin vs Framber Valdez · 77°F

2.8% edge · Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians win

48.9%

Detroit Tigers win

51.1%

Fair line (home)

-104

Proj. total

7.69

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.89)Detroit Tigers (mean 3.80)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.69

Over

38.2%

Under

54.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	48.9%	+112	+104
Detroit Tigers	51.1%	-122	-104

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.8	.923	.183	.025	.049	.467	.430	.277	.353	.366	.719
Chase DeLauter	4.7	.816	.227	.016	.109	.408	.674	.277	.345	.417	.761
José Ramírez	4.5	.743	.217	.011	.141	.397	.548	.271	.341	.432	.772
Jo Adell	4.4	.630	.168	.016	.163	.250	1.074	.237	.293	.404	.697
Angel Martínez	4.3	.686	.180	.013	.093	.204	.927	.239	.286	.358	.645
Rhys Hoskins	4.2	.499	.154	.006	.116	.499	1.179	.212	.315	.352	.667
Angel Genao	4.1	.711	.175	.011	.042	.283	.781	.248	.307	.334	.640
Austin Hedges	4.0	.579	.123	.006	.069	.304	.892	.213	.280	.306	.586
Brayan Rocchio	3.9	.631	.175	.017	.056	.273	.640	.249	.316	.356	.672

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.5	.758	.176	.004	.114	.480	.815	.262	.346	.394	.740
Dillon Dingler	4.4	.684	.197	.019	.157	.266	1.027	.258	.313	.430	.742
Kevin McGonigle	4.3	.731	.197	.032	.100	.477	.632	.278	.364	.425	.789
Hao-Yu Lee	4.2	.648	.159	.029	.090	.271	1.015	.237	.295	.361	.656
Spencer Torkelson	4.1	.482	.170	.005	.171	.406	1.190	.226	.312	.416	.728
Ben Malgeri	4.0	.597	.175	.024	.074	.283	1.162	.236	.298	.356	.654
Max Clark	3.9	.630	.151	.028	.069	.364	.787	.251	.328	.369	.696
Javier Báez	3.8	.601	.146	.015	.094	.134	.884	.238	.275	.365	.640
Corey Julks	3.6	.555	.150	.005	.086	.262	.919	.236	.296	.360	.656

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections