Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 11, 2026 · Tanner Bibee vs Drew Anderson · 75°F

1.4% edge · Detroit Tigers

Cleveland Guardians win

43.4%

Detroit Tigers win

56.6%

Fair line (home)

-131

Proj. total

8.29

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.92)Detroit Tigers (mean 4.36)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.29

Over

44.0%

Under

48.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	43.4%	+119	+131
Detroit Tigers	56.6%	-129	-131

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.8	.867	.167	.023	.053	.490	.491	.263	.344	.351	.695
Chase DeLauter	4.6	.769	.204	.015	.126	.439	.752	.267	.339	.413	.753
José Ramírez	4.5	.690	.200	.014	.155	.460	.611	.262	.343	.434	.777
Nathaniel Lowe	4.4	.613	.152	.009	.128	.506	1.158	.232	.324	.375	.699
Jo Adell	4.3	.578	.157	.013	.182	.243	1.112	.232	.288	.414	.701
Travis Bazzana	4.2	.550	.173	.020	.076	.488	1.058	.222	.319	.342	.661
Angel Martínez	4.1	.608	.167	.016	.097	.221	.929	.232	.283	.360	.643
Patrick Bailey	4.0	.572	.118	.020	.063	.300	1.101	.212	.277	.306	.583
Brayan Rocchio	3.9	.604	.162	.019	.066	.300	.698	.243	.314	.357	.671

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.6	.761	.214	.035	.105	.561	.649	.279	.372	.428	.800
Gleyber Torres	4.5	.762	.174	.005	.127	.524	.781	.272	.362	.415	.777
Dillon Dingler	4.4	.657	.188	.019	.179	.277	.996	.258	.316	.447	.763
Riley Greene	4.3	.654	.195	.016	.192	.406	1.134	.276	.350	.485	.835
Colt Keith	4.2	.686	.164	.026	.136	.357	.813	.268	.336	.433	.769
Spencer Torkelson	4.1	.474	.164	.005	.177	.441	1.172	.229	.321	.426	.747
Max Clark	4.0	.620	.152	.027	.069	.389	.793	.246	.327	.362	.689
Javier Báez	3.8	.621	.147	.013	.099	.143	.891	.241	.278	.370	.648
Zach McKinstry	3.7	.530	.129	.047	.079	.336	.778	.234	.311	.371	.682

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections