Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 15, 2026 · Anthony Kay vs Troy Melton · 81°F

2.9% edge · Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox win

46.2%

Detroit Tigers win

53.8%

Fair line (home)

-116

Proj. total

8.37

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 4.09)Detroit Tigers (mean 4.27)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.37

Over

52.4%

Under

47.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	46.2%	+126	+116
Detroit Tigers	53.8%	-137	-116

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.8	.843	.183	.029	.073	.414	.780	.267	.351	.376	.727
Munetaka Murakami	4.7	.533	.115	.006	.261	.599	1.397	.227	.331	.453	.784
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.591	.203	.014	.165	.510	.804	.243	.335	.425	.760
Andrew Benintendi	4.5	.700	.162	.020	.131	.342	.868	.248	.309	.394	.703
Braden Montgomery	4.3	.631	.177	.019	.095	.332	1.179	.233	.298	.359	.657
Colson Montgomery	4.2	.482	.141	.007	.201	.315	1.262	.216	.285	.413	.698
Chase Meidroth	4.1	.711	.149	.004	.070	.405	.751	.255	.335	.354	.689
Tristan Peters	4.0	.616	.172	.020	.076	.293	.832	.241	.302	.361	.663
Jake Rogers	3.9	.468	.124	.022	.118	.315	1.115	.207	.277	.355	.632

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.6	.786	.185	.006	.111	.598	.702	.272	.371	.405	.776
Hao-Yu Lee	4.5	.726	.176	.035	.096	.349	.947	.251	.318	.380	.698
Dillon Dingler	4.4	.697	.202	.022	.161	.318	.888	.270	.335	.452	.787
Kevin McGonigle	4.3	.709	.206	.029	.093	.577	.521	.282	.384	.429	.813
Eduardo Valencia	4.2	.640	.161	.011	.124	.337	.899	.246	.317	.392	.709
Spencer Torkelson	4.1	.482	.177	.004	.160	.498	1.060	.233	.337	.421	.758
Ben Malgeri	4.0	.608	.176	.026	.073	.355	1.019	.246	.323	.371	.695
Javier Báez	3.9	.646	.157	.016	.104	.176	.807	.252	.297	.389	.686
Corey Julks	3.8	.586	.156	.005	.091	.329	.827	.247	.318	.376	.694

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections