Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 13, 2026 · Parker Messick vs Keider Montero · 85°F

0.4% edge · Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians win

52.1%

Detroit Tigers win

47.9%

Fair line (home)

+109

Proj. total

8.22

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.29)Detroit Tigers (mean 3.93)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.22

Over

43.4%

Under

48.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	52.1%	-111	-109
Detroit Tigers	47.9%	+103	+109

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.8	.899	.183	.024	.070	.448	.418	.272	.344	.374	.719
Chase DeLauter	4.7	.821	.224	.019	.154	.384	.661	.284	.346	.454	.800
José Ramírez	4.6	.710	.209	.013	.194	.415	.530	.273	.344	.471	.815
Nathaniel Lowe	4.5	.667	.163	.009	.152	.468	1.040	.249	.332	.410	.742
Jo Adell	4.3	.609	.158	.012	.215	.235	.991	.245	.297	.450	.747
Travis Bazzana	4.2	.591	.183	.023	.097	.454	.967	.238	.326	.376	.701
Angel Genao	4.1	.704	.175	.017	.059	.278	.769	.249	.305	.350	.655
Austin Hedges	4.0	.586	.124	.004	.095	.281	.876	.218	.280	.331	.611
Brayan Rocchio	3.9	.634	.162	.022	.077	.289	.620	.250	.316	.373	.688

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.6	.758	.180	.004	.117	.548	.823	.265	.358	.400	.758
Dillon Dingler	4.5	.678	.191	.023	.159	.297	1.072	.256	.315	.429	.744
Kevin McGonigle	4.4	.722	.195	.032	.100	.544	.646	.277	.373	.425	.797
Eduardo Valencia	4.3	.641	.144	.011	.125	.310	1.048	.236	.299	.374	.674
Spencer Torkelson	4.2	.485	.171	.005	.169	.460	1.215	.228	.322	.416	.738
Hao-Yu Lee	4.0	.608	.156	.030	.086	.293	.999	.237	.301	.366	.667
Max Clark	4.0	.614	.144	.024	.058	.397	.809	.239	.321	.343	.665
Javier Báez	3.8	.626	.152	.015	.099	.150	.918	.245	.283	.377	.660
Ben Malgeri	3.7	.538	.153	.026	.067	.298	1.071	.233	.303	.354	.657

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections