Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 14, 2026 · Sean Newcomb vs Jackson Jobe · 81°F

2.6% edge · Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox win

48.0%

Detroit Tigers win

52.0%

Fair line (home)

-108

Proj. total

8.24

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 4.11)Detroit Tigers (mean 4.13)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.24

Over

43.1%

Under

56.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	48.0%	+116	+108
Detroit Tigers	52.0%	-125	-108

Chicago White Sox — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.8	.838	.173	.028	.068	.475	.791	.265	.359	.368	.727
Munetaka Murakami	4.7	.520	.117	.005	.245	.671	1.400	.223	.340	.440	.780
Miguel Vargas	4.6	.576	.193	.013	.152	.572	.813	.236	.339	.407	.746
Andrew Benintendi	4.5	.690	.157	.021	.127	.392	.849	.246	.316	.389	.705
Braden Montgomery	4.4	.619	.184	.018	.089	.385	1.174	.232	.308	.356	.664
Colson Montgomery	4.3	.497	.136	.008	.192	.367	1.250	.218	.297	.409	.706
Chase Meidroth	4.1	.704	.143	.004	.065	.450	.766	.251	.340	.346	.685
Tristan Peters	4.0	.602	.170	.021	.077	.330	.850	.237	.306	.358	.664
Drew Romo	3.9	.535	.129	.010	.096	.239	.978	.211	.267	.331	.598

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.6	.732	.163	.005	.117	.647	.835	.257	.365	.389	.754
Dillon Dingler	4.5	.656	.192	.022	.156	.347	1.055	.249	.318	.421	.739
Kevin McGonigle	4.4	.693	.192	.029	.094	.646	.632	.270	.382	.412	.794
Eduardo Valencia	4.3	.610	.141	.009	.126	.366	1.060	.228	.302	.366	.668
Colt Keith	4.2	.659	.163	.029	.118	.409	.848	.258	.336	.411	.747
Spencer Torkelson	4.1	.443	.158	.005	.155	.525	1.180	.216	.326	.395	.721
Zach McKinstry	4.0	.554	.136	.050	.068	.437	.828	.230	.322	.355	.678
Ben Malgeri	3.9	.536	.161	.023	.068	.365	1.104	.227	.309	.345	.654
Max Clark	3.8	.563	.132	.025	.059	.440	.764	.238	.334	.347	.681

Data notes: home starter Jackson Jobe: only 9 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Jackson Jobe: only 7 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections