Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 16, 2026 · Sean Burke vs Drew Anderson · 81°F

7.2% edge · Detroit Tigers

Chicago White Sox win

41.8%

Detroit Tigers win

58.2%

Fair line (home)

-139

Proj. total

8.39

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago White Sox (mean 3.92)Detroit Tigers (mean 4.46)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.39

Over

45.0%

Under

47.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago White Sox	41.8%	-100	+139
Detroit Tigers	58.2%	-108	-139

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.8	.813	.176	.028	.058	.464	.845	.259	.353	.357	.710
Munetaka Murakami	4.7	.508	.119	.006	.238	.655	1.475	.220	.335	.433	.768
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.575	.193	.013	.149	.557	.875	.236	.338	.406	.744
Andrew Benintendi	4.4	.670	.150	.021	.119	.391	.921	.239	.310	.376	.686
Braden Montgomery	4.3	.602	.173	.017	.086	.367	1.242	.224	.297	.343	.640
Colson Montgomery	4.2	.482	.138	.007	.171	.356	1.314	.210	.288	.385	.673
Chase Meidroth	4.1	.688	.143	.003	.059	.454	.790	.247	.339	.337	.676
Tristan Peters	4.0	.603	.172	.021	.064	.324	.875	.236	.304	.348	.651
Drew Romo	3.9	.537	.122	.009	.093	.237	1.001	.211	.267	.327	.594

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.6	.742	.170	.004	.137	.633	.805	.266	.371	.414	.785
Kevin McGonigle	4.5	.717	.199	.030	.115	.662	.628	.277	.389	.435	.824
Dillon Dingler	4.4	.641	.188	.018	.191	.344	1.010	.259	.328	.459	.787
Colt Keith	4.3	.685	.166	.029	.156	.428	.837	.270	.348	.450	.799
Zach McKinstry	4.2	.584	.141	.049	.096	.457	.863	.236	.327	.379	.706
Spencer Torkelson	4.1	.440	.157	.005	.192	.521	1.157	.225	.333	.436	.768
Brett Callahan	4.0	.571	.144	.023	.121	.341	1.006	.238	.312	.391	.703
Max Clark	3.9	.567	.132	.027	.068	.471	.761	.236	.334	.352	.686
Javier Báez	3.8	.580	.147	.013	.112	.179	.848	.241	.287	.385	.672

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections