Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 30, 2026 · Tyler Glasnow vs Framber Valdez · 78°F

2.4% edge · Detroit Tigers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

56.5%

Detroit Tigers win

43.5%

Fair line (home)

+130

Proj. total

8.15

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.48)Detroit Tigers (mean 3.67)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.15

Over

50.4%

Under

49.6%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	56.5%	-151	-130
Detroit Tigers	43.5%	+138	+130

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Tyler Glasnow RHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	4.9	5.4	4.3	1.9	1.8
Framber Valdez LHP · Detroit Tigers	5.5	4.3	5.7	2.1	2.5

Strikeout ladder

Tyler Glasnow4+ 81%6+ 46%8+ 16%

Framber Valdez4+ 63%6+ 25%8+ 6%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.8	.671	.193	.042	.234	.675	1.097	.276	.383	.514	.897
Tommy Edman	4.8	.779	.170	.024	.097	.284	.881	.244	.302	.360	.662
Mookie Betts	4.6	.768	.215	.016	.128	.466	.510	.273	.351	.426	.777
Freddie Freeman	4.5	.798	.234	.013	.121	.468	.745	.292	.373	.447	.821
Teoscar Hernández	4.4	.688	.183	.008	.154	.307	1.121	.254	.312	.416	.728
Miguel Rojas	4.3	.816	.197	.004	.062	.278	.512	.270	.324	.368	.692
Kyle Tucker	4.2	.604	.159	.024	.139	.548	.669	.256	.358	.428	.786
Enrique Hernández	4.1	.606	.169	.010	.089	.278	.887	.230	.286	.350	.636
Ben Rortvedt	4.0	.538	.139	.006	.063	.316	.974	.207	.281	.302	.583

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.5	.671	.152	.005	.118	.609	1.006	.242	.348	.374	.722
Colt Keith	4.4	.661	.160	.030	.127	.426	1.071	.246	.322	.397	.719
Kevin McGonigle	4.3	.632	.173	.022	.121	.597	.803	.256	.363	.413	.776
Dillon Dingler	4.2	.560	.163	.013	.161	.299	1.188	.231	.296	.405	.701
Brett Callahan	4.1	.560	.122	.028	.098	.278	1.286	.212	.274	.337	.611
Zach McKinstry	4.0	.515	.137	.046	.069	.418	.961	.215	.303	.338	.641
Hao-Yu Lee	3.9	.543	.141	.023	.099	.309	1.060	.226	.294	.361	.655
Max Clark	3.8	.547	.119	.030	.088	.385	.926	.233	.317	.364	.681
Javier Báez	3.7	.538	.128	.014	.086	.167	1.002	.221	.264	.341	.605

Data notes: away starter Tyler Glasnow: only 62 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections