Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 28, 2026 · Tarik Skubal vs Drew Anderson · 76°F

1.0% edge · Detroit Tigers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

61.3%

Detroit Tigers win

38.7%

Fair line (home)

+159

Proj. total

8.04

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.65)Detroit Tigers (mean 3.39)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.04

Over

49.4%

Under

50.6%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	61.3%	-175	-159
Detroit Tigers	38.7%	+160	+159

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Tarik Skubal LHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	5.7	6.8	4.8	1.3	1.9
Drew Anderson RHP · Detroit Tigers	2.2	2.1	2.1	1.1	1.0

Strikeout ladder

Tarik Skubal4+ 92%6+ 69%8+ 37%

Drew Anderson4+ 14%6+ 1%8+ 0%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.9	.612	.175	.040	.264	.728	1.173	.266	.382	.522	.904
Freddie Freeman	4.8	.770	.219	.012	.143	.526	.839	.274	.362	.435	.797
Mookie Betts	4.6	.719	.212	.015	.157	.486	.553	.267	.348	.439	.787
Max Muncy	4.5	.501	.142	.013	.196	.654	1.126	.223	.345	.421	.765
Tommy Edman	4.4	.689	.149	.029	.098	.297	.887	.237	.298	.360	.658
Kyle Tucker	4.3	.588	.153	.023	.147	.591	.734	.246	.354	.419	.773
Alek Thomas	4.2	.602	.182	.019	.106	.240	.951	.231	.282	.368	.650
Teoscar Hernández	4.1	.591	.161	.005	.158	.298	1.092	.243	.304	.415	.720
Hunter Feduccia	4.0	.554	.135	.015	.076	.402	1.021	.220	.302	.331	.633

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.4	.655	.149	.004	.122	.439	1.063	.234	.315	.366	.680
Hao-Yu Lee	4.3	.598	.157	.025	.119	.237	1.243	.222	.273	.361	.634
Kevin McGonigle	4.2	.639	.167	.022	.123	.424	.844	.251	.331	.404	.736
Dillon Dingler	4.1	.526	.150	.012	.161	.228	1.244	.221	.277	.392	.670
Eduardo Valencia	4.0	.533	.135	.010	.176	.218	1.184	.226	.275	.407	.682
Ben Malgeri	3.9	.511	.140	.019	.108	.261	1.302	.216	.277	.355	.631
Spencer Torkelson	3.8	.388	.137	.005	.152	.360	1.315	.201	.285	.378	.663
Max Clark	3.7	.520	.117	.027	.083	.289	.960	.223	.291	.349	.640
Javier Báez	3.5	.506	.122	.010	.088	.115	1.019	.214	.249	.334	.582

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections