Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

August 29, 2026 · Blake Snell vs Keider Montero · 79°F

2.5% edge · Detroit Tigers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

59.8%

Detroit Tigers win

40.2%

Fair line (home)

+149

Proj. total

8.87

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.01)Detroit Tigers (mean 3.86)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.87

Over

57.3%

Under

32.0%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	59.8%	-175	-149
Detroit Tigers	40.2%	+160	+149

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Blake Snell LHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	5.0	5.9	4.2	2.3	1.9
Keider Montero RHP · Detroit Tigers	4.5	3.3	4.8	1.8	2.5

Strikeout ladder

Blake Snell4+ 86%6+ 56%8+ 24%

Keider Montero4+ 42%6+ 10%8+ 1%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.9	.659	.188	.046	.310	.662	1.030	.287	.389	.576	.965
Freddie Freeman	4.8	.817	.235	.014	.168	.472	.739	.290	.369	.471	.839
Mookie Betts	4.7	.721	.203	.017	.176	.448	.485	.267	.342	.449	.791
Max Muncy	4.6	.515	.140	.013	.222	.617	1.037	.229	.342	.443	.785
Tommy Edman	4.5	.726	.161	.032	.118	.272	.763	.252	.306	.392	.699
Kyle Tucker	4.3	.616	.155	.022	.175	.552	.645	.258	.357	.451	.808
Teoscar Hernández	4.2	.633	.175	.007	.187	.293	1.022	.256	.313	.448	.762
Hunter Feduccia	4.1	.587	.146	.015	.093	.400	.982	.227	.305	.350	.655
Alek Thomas	4.0	.604	.166	.014	.121	.205	.830	.240	.284	.387	.671

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Gleyber Torres	4.6	.645	.161	.005	.113	.679	1.007	.238	.354	.369	.723
Hao-Yu Lee	4.5	.621	.163	.021	.120	.386	1.212	.228	.302	.368	.670
Kevin McGonigle	4.4	.633	.165	.025	.121	.651	.798	.255	.371	.412	.782
Dillon Dingler	4.3	.547	.158	.014	.163	.343	1.209	.228	.301	.402	.703
Eduardo Valencia	4.2	.546	.144	.008	.179	.327	1.179	.230	.297	.414	.710
Spencer Torkelson	4.1	.414	.140	.003	.150	.529	1.341	.202	.312	.372	.685
Ben Malgeri	4.0	.491	.139	.025	.104	.377	1.266	.215	.297	.357	.654
Javier Báez	3.8	.550	.134	.009	.092	.193	1.047	.219	.267	.338	.605
Max Clark	3.7	.529	.112	.027	.087	.414	.896	.231	.322	.363	.685

Data notes: away starter Blake Snell: only 30 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Blake Snell: only 57 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections