Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers — Prediction & Odds

September 8, 2026 · Dean Kremer vs Drew Anderson · 80°F

0.0% edge · Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins win

45.2%

Detroit Tigers win

54.8%

Fair line (home)

-121

Proj. total

8.65

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.18)Detroit Tigers (mean 4.46)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.65

Over

47.0%

Under

45.2%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	45.2%	+117	+121
Detroit Tigers	54.8%	-127	-121

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Dean Kremer RHP · Minnesota Twins	4.8	4.1	5.2	1.8	2.4
Drew Anderson RHP · Detroit Tigers	2.3	2.0	2.1	0.9	0.9

Strikeout ladder

Dean Kremer4+ 59%6+ 22%8+ 4%

Drew Anderson4+ 13%6+ 1%8+ 0%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Minnesota Twins — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luke Keaschall	4.8	.799	.198	.013	.087	.475	.775	.261	.350	.376	.726
Brooks Lee	4.7	.711	.158	.022	.134	.304	.777	.237	.292	.376	.668
Kody Clemens	4.5	.557	.154	.050	.173	.338	1.059	.224	.290	.410	.699
Ryan Jeffers	4.4	.592	.179	.016	.153	.502	.846	.243	.341	.416	.757
Josh Bell	4.3	.634	.150	.009	.128	.437	.858	.238	.321	.381	.702
Royce Lewis	4.2	.581	.162	.008	.160	.362	.955	.237	.306	.408	.714
Trevor Larnach	4.1	.597	.156	.011	.117	.455	.871	.242	.331	.388	.719
Kaelen Culpepper	4.0	.610	.144	.018	.113	.291	.856	.241	.306	.383	.689
Walker Jenkins	3.9	.584	.153	.026	.091	.395	.794	.246	.329	.384	.713

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.6	.771	.206	.029	.142	.540	.614	.284	.372	.454	.826
Gleyber Torres	4.5	.759	.177	.004	.119	.520	.763	.267	.356	.404	.760
Colt Keith	4.4	.769	.175	.036	.134	.373	.819	.278	.344	.440	.784
Riley Greene	4.3	.658	.194	.011	.183	.428	1.132	.272	.350	.472	.822
Eduardo Valencia	4.2	.646	.166	.011	.191	.252	.937	.260	.311	.455	.766
Brett Callahan	4.1	.661	.148	.034	.106	.243	1.013	.250	.303	.390	.693
Max Clark	4.0	.645	.148	.035	.101	.351	.758	.258	.329	.403	.732
Hao-Yu Lee	3.9	.631	.163	.020	.113	.269	.813	.261	.318	.413	.731
Zach McKinstry	3.7	.565	.139	.044	.068	.335	.686	.242	.316	.369	.685

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections