Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros — Prediction & Odds

July 31, 2026 · Nathan Eovaldi vs Hunter Brown · 85°F

3.5% edge · Houston Astros

Texas Rangers win

42.8%

Houston Astros win

57.2%

Fair line (home)

-134

Proj. total

9.14

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 4.34)Houston Astros (mean 4.79)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

9.14

Over

59.9%

Under

40.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	42.8%	+112	+134
Houston Astros	57.2%	-121	-134

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.8	.556	.127	.021	.249	.578	1.289	.232	.337	.454	.791
Wyatt Langford	4.7	.608	.171	.024	.198	.555	1.216	.246	.342	.446	.788
Corey Seager	4.5	.597	.164	.005	.233	.542	1.087	.252	.347	.471	.818
Brandon Nimmo	4.5	.628	.155	.017	.167	.448	1.110	.245	.331	.420	.751
Ezequiel Duran	4.3	.629	.181	.018	.120	.266	1.169	.235	.289	.379	.668
Evan Carter	4.2	.510	.129	.035	.132	.501	1.130	.219	.322	.381	.703
Jake Burger	4.1	.525	.147	.005	.218	.282	1.208	.236	.296	.449	.745
Nicky Lopez	4.0	.688	.123	.020	.027	.336	.759	.236	.308	.303	.611
Austin Wynns	3.9	.500	.122	.007	.110	.274	1.210	.206	.268	.336	.604

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	4.6	.829	.207	.012	.160	.245	.844	.282	.333	.448	.782
Yordan Alvarez	4.5	.712	.207	.007	.303	.516	.833	.315	.402	.604	1.006
Isaac Paredes	4.4	.613	.171	.006	.206	.418	.786	.258	.346	.466	.812
Christian Walker	4.3	.547	.159	.011	.225	.315	1.090	.242	.308	.461	.769
Jose Altuve	4.2	.692	.173	.012	.159	.307	.801	.270	.329	.446	.774
Taylor Trammell	4.1	.490	.147	.021	.152	.367	1.327	.221	.299	.398	.697
Yainer Diaz	4.0	.690	.181	.009	.168	.150	.694	.278	.310	.464	.773
LaMonte Wade Jr.	3.8	.505	.128	.012	.120	.463	1.016	.230	.330	.383	.713
Cam Smith	3.7	.557	.149	.019	.123	.274	.960	.249	.312	.411	.724

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections