Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros — Prediction & Odds

August 2, 2026 · Kumar Rocker vs Peter Lambert · 85°F

3.7% edge · Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers win

48.1%

Houston Astros win

51.9%

Fair line (home)

-108

Proj. total

10.24

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 5.15)Houston Astros (mean 5.08)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

10.24

Over

61.1%

Under

38.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	48.1%	+121	+108
Houston Astros	51.9%	-131	-108

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.9	.596	.137	.024	.288	.617	1.100	.250	.358	.500	.858
Wyatt Langford	4.8	.644	.179	.024	.251	.591	1.072	.265	.363	.502	.865
Corey Seager	4.7	.633	.168	.004	.277	.587	.940	.268	.367	.518	.884
Brandon Nimmo	4.5	.673	.165	.021	.200	.490	.985	.264	.352	.465	.817
Jake Burger	4.5	.614	.167	.006	.262	.330	1.104	.258	.322	.496	.818
Evan Carter	4.3	.561	.145	.038	.158	.535	1.014	.241	.345	.426	.771
Ezequiel Duran	4.2	.660	.193	.017	.129	.272	.990	.255	.310	.411	.721
Elias Díaz	4.1	.572	.146	.005	.148	.292	.983	.230	.291	.388	.679
Cam Cauley	4.0	.533	.141	.030	.097	.357	1.053	.221	.295	.357	.651

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	4.7	.876	.217	.011	.165	.298	.752	.293	.349	.462	.811
Yordan Alvarez	4.6	.739	.208	.007	.321	.646	.707	.328	.430	.633	1.063
Isaac Paredes	4.5	.632	.176	.006	.221	.512	.696	.267	.365	.486	.852
Christian Walker	4.4	.594	.167	.011	.242	.395	.980	.258	.334	.491	.826
Taylor Trammell	4.3	.510	.158	.022	.170	.481	1.252	.229	.323	.419	.742
Jose Altuve	4.2	.700	.172	.010	.171	.358	.718	.279	.346	.466	.812
Cam Smith	4.1	.613	.175	.022	.143	.362	.949	.261	.335	.438	.773
Nick Allen	3.9	.688	.163	.008	.055	.322	.757	.254	.321	.350	.671
Christian Vázquez	3.8	.624	.136	.006	.100	.253	.696	.244	.299	.370	.668

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections