Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros — Prediction & Odds

August 18, 2026 · George Klassen vs Cristian Javier · 72°F

0.5% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

40.0%

Houston Astros win

60.0%

Fair line (home)

-150

Proj. total

9.65

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.45)Houston Astros (mean 5.20)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

9.65

Over

46.7%

Under

43.7%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	40.0%	+148	+150
Houston Astros	60.0%	-162	-150

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
George Klassen RHP · Los Angeles Angels	4.2	3.5	4.4	2.3	2.5
Cristian Javier RHP · Houston Astros	3.5	3.4	3.4	1.7	1.7

Strikeout ladder

George Klassen4+ 45%6+ 16%8+ 4%

Cristian Javier4+ 43%6+ 15%8+ 4%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Wade Meckler	4.8	.767	.174	.014	.084	.568	1.142	.245	.338	.352	.691
Mike Trout	4.7	.489	.128	.008	.275	.804	1.360	.234	.373	.485	.858
Nolan Schanuel	4.6	.720	.168	.005	.138	.566	.713	.259	.361	.408	.769
Zach Neto	4.5	.519	.168	.015	.225	.416	1.248	.232	.319	.451	.770
Moisés Ballesteros	4.4	.652	.173	.009	.140	.444	.867	.248	.329	.405	.734
Vaughn Grissom	4.3	.678	.171	.005	.111	.382	.842	.250	.326	.383	.710
Josh Lowe	4.2	.547	.156	.012	.164	.384	1.219	.233	.307	.410	.717
Denzer Guzman	4.1	.547	.141	.011	.121	.349	1.111	.222	.293	.364	.657
Tyler Heineman	4.0	.549	.101	.013	.070	.347	.941	.208	.294	.304	.598

Houston Astros — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	4.7	.854	.215	.013	.141	.378	.734	.287	.355	.443	.798
Yordan Alvarez	4.6	.684	.202	.008	.269	.781	.721	.309	.435	.582	1.017
Isaac Paredes	4.5	.606	.169	.006	.196	.621	.674	.259	.378	.462	.840
Jose Altuve	4.4	.699	.172	.011	.150	.476	.744	.266	.351	.431	.783
Daulton Varsho	4.3	.545	.170	.029	.166	.456	.925	.240	.327	.431	.758
Christian Walker	4.2	.515	.161	.010	.213	.446	.949	.244	.335	.467	.802
Taylor Trammell	4.1	.471	.146	.020	.136	.555	1.177	.223	.336	.394	.729
Cam Smith	4.0	.570	.159	.019	.118	.425	.924	.249	.338	.407	.745
Yainer Diaz	3.8	.673	.168	.009	.147	.215	.601	.278	.323	.452	.775

Data notes: home starter Cristian Javier: only 64 BF vs LHB this season · away starter George Klassen: only 46 BF vs LHB this season · away starter George Klassen: only 30 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections