Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals — Prediction & Odds

August 5, 2026 · Dean Kremer vs Noah Cameron · 83°F

0.3% edge · Kansas City Royals

Minnesota Twins win

47.0%

Kansas City Royals win

53.0%

Fair line (home)

-113

Proj. total

9.57

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.80)Kansas City Royals (mean 4.77)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.57

Over

45.2%

Under

44.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	47.0%	+107	+113
Kansas City Royals	53.0%	-116	-113

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Austin Martin	4.9	.879	.234	.009	.045	.560	.780	.274	.367	.365	.732
Ryan Jeffers	4.8	.732	.223	.013	.192	.508	.852	.276	.364	.473	.837
Josh Bell	4.7	.773	.177	.008	.162	.418	.845	.266	.338	.427	.765
Kody Clemens	4.6	.641	.191	.040	.197	.328	.952	.255	.316	.461	.777
Royce Lewis	4.4	.674	.186	.004	.192	.357	.933	.260	.324	.450	.775
Victor Caratini	4.3	.792	.139	.005	.119	.335	.728	.271	.344	.400	.745
Brooks Lee	4.2	.728	.160	.017	.133	.255	.627	.263	.313	.414	.727
Trevor Larnach	4.1	.662	.186	.012	.126	.445	.816	.271	.356	.433	.788
Ryan Kreidler	4.0	.547	.154	.025	.086	.416	1.081	.229	.317	.360	.676

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Carter Jensen	4.6	.707	.225	.016	.179	.415	1.113	.268	.336	.456	.792
Bobby Witt Jr.	4.5	.810	.261	.033	.209	.338	.694	.316	.373	.545	.918
Jac Caglianone	4.4	.696	.203	.024	.207	.299	1.054	.277	.333	.491	.824
Salvador Perez	4.3	.719	.181	.003	.205	.183	.786	.272	.313	.469	.782
Michael Massey	4.2	.772	.224	.012	.128	.197	.662	.285	.323	.444	.767
Isaac Collins	4.1	.644	.203	.022	.083	.454	.844	.265	.355	.403	.758
Nick Loftin	4.0	.680	.181	.023	.083	.376	.544	.271	.348	.405	.753
John Rave	3.9	.594	.161	.027	.114	.349	.912	.255	.326	.414	.740
Kyle Isbel	3.8	.660	.166	.037	.075	.225	.715	.267	.317	.400	.717

Data notes: away starter Dean Kremer: only 62 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections