Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 3, 2026 · Jake Bennett vs Reid Detmers · 76°F

4.0% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Boston Red Sox win

45.1%

Los Angeles Angels win

54.9%

Fair line (home)

-122

Proj. total

8.6

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Boston Red Sox (mean 4.17)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.44)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.6

Over

55.4%

Under

44.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Boston Red Sox	45.1%	-100	+122
Los Angeles Angels	54.9%	-108	-122

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nate Eaton	4.8	.703	.187	.022	.101	.322	1.322	.229	.289	.350	.639
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.7	.711	.200	.034	.142	.245	1.107	.250	.301	.410	.711
Wilyer Abreu	4.5	.625	.190	.012	.176	.511	1.160	.250	.338	.435	.773
Willson Contreras	4.5	.574	.166	.019	.186	.472	1.241	.246	.348	.444	.792
Caleb Durbin	4.3	.659	.200	.020	.094	.335	.594	.249	.327	.383	.710
Romy Gonzalez	4.2	.688	.189	.030	.129	.263	1.136	.263	.314	.424	.738
Jarren Duran	4.1	.542	.189	.051	.111	.349	1.128	.239	.313	.407	.719
Andruw Monasterio	4.0	.597	.180	.005	.069	.389	1.009	.237	.319	.348	.666
Carlos Narváez	3.9	.476	.146	.004	.108	.410	1.137	.213	.304	.351	.655

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.6	.682	.224	.014	.177	.376	1.017	.266	.342	.456	.798
Nolan Schanuel	4.5	.826	.205	.005	.106	.475	.546	.289	.374	.424	.797
Denzer Guzman	4.4	.728	.185	.017	.102	.322	.991	.256	.317	.386	.703
Jorge Soler	4.3	.581	.168	.013	.172	.449	1.045	.247	.334	.434	.767
Vaughn Grissom	4.2	.785	.212	.007	.090	.330	.628	.288	.353	.419	.772
Jo Adell	4.1	.613	.173	.009	.196	.251	.926	.263	.319	.470	.790
Jose Siri	4.0	.573	.145	.024	.133	.260	1.182	.239	.296	.400	.696
Josh Lowe	3.9	.600	.176	.016	.117	.307	.970	.258	.321	.417	.738
Logan O'Hoppe	3.7	.589	.113	.010	.129	.291	.889	.247	.314	.401	.714

Data notes: away starter Jake Bennett: only 32 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections