Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 17, 2026 · Troy Melton vs Reid Detmers · 75°F

3.3% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Detroit Tigers win

46.7%

Los Angeles Angels win

53.3%

Fair line (home)

-114

Proj. total

8.41

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 4.20)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.21)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.41

Over

44.9%

Under

55.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	46.7%	-104	+114
Los Angeles Angels	53.3%	-104	-114

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Matt Vierling	4.8	.698	.183	.029	.110	.407	1.109	.236	.307	.367	.674
Kevin McGonigle	4.7	.724	.199	.033	.107	.634	.735	.267	.372	.414	.786
Dillon Dingler	4.5	.640	.185	.021	.172	.336	1.149	.245	.312	.424	.736
Spencer Torkelson	4.5	.469	.161	.005	.195	.537	1.347	.215	.319	.411	.730
Riley Greene	4.3	.624	.172	.016	.182	.473	1.264	.259	.344	.454	.798
Eduardo Valencia	4.3	.578	.142	.012	.138	.341	1.108	.225	.295	.375	.671
Hao-Yu Lee	4.1	.582	.147	.026	.100	.317	1.055	.226	.294	.359	.653
Ben Malgeri	4.0	.538	.164	.024	.081	.349	1.226	.222	.298	.348	.646
Zach McKinstry	3.9	.535	.126	.049	.078	.389	.864	.227	.312	.359	.671

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.5	.613	.196	.016	.200	.317	1.180	.247	.313	.447	.760
Mike Trout	4.4	.542	.147	.008	.213	.633	1.208	.243	.359	.457	.816
Nolan Schanuel	4.3	.764	.177	.005	.113	.423	.596	.276	.357	.414	.770
Jorge Soler	4.2	.519	.161	.011	.190	.390	1.166	.232	.310	.431	.741
Josh Lowe	4.1	.612	.177	.013	.141	.296	1.089	.248	.305	.413	.718
Jo Adell	4.0	.565	.152	.013	.204	.212	.956	.249	.299	.461	.760
Vaughn Grissom	3.9	.697	.179	.005	.076	.274	.685	.267	.326	.384	.710
Denzer Guzman	3.8	.585	.156	.012	.094	.251	.943	.241	.296	.373	.669
Logan O'Hoppe	3.7	.531	.112	.009	.129	.242	.954	.231	.289	.383	.673

Data notes: away starter Troy Melton: only 73 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections