Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 18, 2026 · Tarik Skubal vs Grayson Rodriguez · 76°F

6.2% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Detroit Tigers win

58.5%

Los Angeles Angels win

41.5%

Fair line (home)

+141

Proj. total

8.02

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 4.55)Los Angeles Angels (mean 3.47)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.02

Over

41.4%

Under

50.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	58.5%	-194	-141
Los Angeles Angels	41.5%	+177	+141

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.8	.763	.210	.039	.117	.662	.708	.273	.377	.427	.805
Dillon Dingler	4.7	.687	.198	.023	.185	.345	1.130	.252	.316	.437	.753
Colt Keith	4.6	.733	.176	.031	.143	.430	.953	.260	.335	.420	.755
Riley Greene	4.5	.682	.185	.017	.190	.484	1.249	.268	.351	.466	.817
Spencer Torkelson	4.4	.482	.176	.005	.181	.527	1.297	.220	.322	.410	.731
Kerry Carpenter	4.3	.566	.133	.038	.206	.331	1.154	.242	.310	.454	.764
Zach McKinstry	4.2	.598	.132	.054	.085	.436	.873	.234	.321	.367	.688
Matt Vierling	4.1	.615	.151	.020	.094	.348	.895	.238	.309	.366	.674
James Outman	4.0	.429	.119	.027	.114	.418	1.408	.197	.292	.345	.637

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.4	.544	.180	.014	.167	.266	1.420	.222	.284	.396	.680
Mike Trout	4.3	.493	.125	.008	.191	.519	1.451	.217	.319	.408	.727
Vaughn Grissom	4.2	.721	.185	.006	.084	.256	.944	.253	.307	.367	.674
Jorge Soler	4.1	.484	.141	.010	.161	.333	1.372	.211	.282	.382	.664
Jo Adell	4.0	.535	.139	.014	.184	.179	1.187	.229	.275	.418	.693
Nolan Schanuel	3.9	.683	.159	.005	.091	.325	.703	.265	.335	.390	.725
Denzer Guzman	3.8	.548	.146	.011	.085	.212	1.167	.221	.269	.339	.608
Jose Siri	3.7	.436	.113	.021	.122	.186	1.413	.200	.249	.351	.600
Logan O'Hoppe	3.5	.474	.101	.007	.116	.199	1.106	.211	.263	.350	.613

Data notes: home starter Grayson Rodriguez: only 64 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections