Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 19, 2026 · Casey Mize vs Ryan Johnson · 76°F

4.8% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Detroit Tigers win

53.3%

Los Angeles Angels win

46.8%

Fair line (home)

+114

Proj. total

8.66

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 4.62)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.04)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

8.66

Over

37.8%

Under

62.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	53.3%	-145	-114
Los Angeles Angels	46.8%	+134	+114

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.8	.783	.219	.037	.116	.633	.634	.279	.379	.433	.812
Dillon Dingler	4.7	.701	.195	.019	.185	.312	1.045	.254	.313	.435	.748
Colt Keith	4.6	.736	.178	.030	.148	.409	.872	.263	.333	.426	.760
Riley Greene	4.5	.682	.196	.017	.193	.465	1.180	.272	.352	.474	.826
Spencer Torkelson	4.4	.501	.175	.006	.190	.495	1.209	.227	.323	.425	.748
Kerry Carpenter	4.3	.582	.134	.037	.232	.311	1.048	.252	.315	.483	.797
Hao-Yu Lee	4.2	.630	.151	.029	.099	.315	.941	.239	.304	.371	.675
James Outman	4.1	.446	.130	.028	.126	.415	1.374	.203	.296	.361	.656
Jake Rogers	3.9	.451	.130	.023	.134	.353	1.134	.208	.285	.370	.655

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.5	.612	.194	.017	.194	.314	1.218	.245	.311	.440	.751
Mike Trout	4.4	.556	.145	.010	.226	.598	1.233	.247	.356	.470	.827
Nolan Schanuel	4.3	.790	.177	.006	.114	.388	.606	.280	.352	.417	.769
Jorge Soler	4.2	.522	.152	.010	.184	.378	1.211	.228	.304	.417	.721
Vaughn Grissom	4.1	.740	.191	.007	.091	.273	.742	.270	.326	.396	.721
Josh Lowe	4.0	.595	.173	.013	.126	.282	1.102	.243	.300	.398	.698
Jo Adell	3.9	.551	.143	.013	.194	.201	.961	.246	.295	.451	.746
Oswald Peraza	3.8	.559	.115	.019	.112	.206	1.013	.228	.279	.365	.645
Tyler Heineman	3.7	.574	.110	.014	.051	.234	.819	.222	.284	.309	.593

Data notes: home starter Ryan Johnson: only 63 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections