St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 21, 2026 · Matthew Liberatore vs Walbert Ureña · 81°F

5.8% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals win

53.5%

Los Angeles Angels win

46.5%

Fair line (home)

+115

Proj. total

10.19

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

St. Louis Cardinals (mean 5.41)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.77)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.19

Over

50.9%

Under

39.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
St. Louis Cardinals	53.5%	+106	-115
Los Angeles Angels	46.5%	-114	+115

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	5.1	.837	.197	.008	.146	.644	.726	.276	.383	.427	.810
Iván Herrera	5.0	.814	.179	.012	.143	.727	.780	.281	.407	.436	.842
Alec Burleson	4.8	.855	.202	.013	.182	.491	.619	.291	.370	.471	.840
Jordan Walker	4.7	.741	.198	.010	.180	.502	1.097	.270	.354	.451	.805
Lars Nootbaar	4.6	.684	.180	.021	.135	.755	.806	.266	.392	.430	.822
Masyn Winn	4.5	.759	.189	.023	.093	.452	.726	.266	.348	.394	.742
Nathan Church	4.4	.776	.156	.024	.098	.361	.683	.264	.333	.389	.721
Blaze Jordan	4.3	.733	.205	.019	.110	.311	.531	.271	.330	.416	.746
Bryan Torres	4.2	.742	.143	.018	.056	.577	.699	.269	.374	.365	.739

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.7	.646	.211	.021	.218	.377	1.140	.261	.335	.476	.811
Mike Trout	4.5	.579	.146	.010	.239	.731	1.128	.259	.386	.493	.880
Nolan Schanuel	4.4	.819	.196	.006	.130	.498	.551	.297	.386	.451	.836
Jorge Soler	4.3	.552	.160	.011	.196	.471	1.129	.240	.331	.442	.773
Vaughn Grissom	4.2	.788	.203	.006	.096	.341	.652	.284	.350	.414	.764
Jo Adell	4.1	.605	.162	.016	.223	.258	.916	.264	.321	.490	.811
Oswald Peraza	4.0	.630	.130	.021	.127	.269	.971	.245	.305	.394	.700
Jose Siri	3.9	.520	.144	.023	.157	.268	1.192	.234	.294	.417	.711
Logan O'Hoppe	3.8	.577	.123	.008	.147	.276	.917	.245	.307	.411	.718

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections