St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 22, 2026 · Hunter Dobbins vs Reid Detmers · 81°F

3.9% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals win

49.3%

Los Angeles Angels win

50.7%

Fair line (home)

-103

Proj. total

9.34

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.73)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.61)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.34

Over

53.8%

Under

46.2%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
St. Louis Cardinals	49.3%	+116	+103
Los Angeles Angels	50.7%	-126	-103

St. Louis Cardinals — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.9	.800	.178	.007	.162	.522	.862	.271	.363	.431	.794
Iván Herrera	4.8	.736	.167	.012	.169	.594	.947	.269	.380	.442	.822
Jordan Walker	4.7	.675	.185	.006	.210	.400	1.272	.256	.326	.453	.779
Alec Burleson	4.5	.739	.177	.011	.204	.392	.724	.275	.344	.473	.817
Nelson Velázquez	4.4	.530	.138	.007	.197	.432	1.326	.220	.303	.408	.711
Masyn Winn	4.3	.709	.177	.019	.106	.361	.846	.259	.328	.395	.723
José Fermín	4.2	.630	.172	.006	.094	.484	.626	.246	.343	.374	.717
Blaze Jordan	4.1	.651	.183	.015	.122	.254	.629	.255	.306	.407	.713
Pedro Pagés	4.0	.548	.134	.009	.128	.285	1.115	.224	.287	.370	.656

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.7	.660	.220	.020	.201	.364	1.057	.261	.335	.466	.801
Mike Trout	4.6	.603	.157	.011	.225	.699	1.084	.261	.384	.485	.869
Nolan Schanuel	4.5	.852	.190	.007	.117	.465	.508	.296	.380	.438	.817
Vaughn Grissom	4.3	.816	.208	.007	.099	.327	.635	.284	.347	.415	.762
Jo Adell	4.3	.625	.174	.015	.211	.247	.888	.261	.317	.474	.791
Wade Meckler	4.1	.787	.170	.014	.057	.428	.782	.278	.357	.378	.735
Oswald Peraza	4.0	.642	.136	.017	.113	.250	.923	.243	.301	.380	.681
Josh Lowe	3.9	.623	.180	.016	.136	.313	.924	.267	.329	.439	.768
Tyler Heineman	3.8	.629	.121	.017	.055	.281	.718	.239	.311	.332	.643

Data notes: away starter Hunter Dobbins: only 53 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Hunter Dobbins: only 42 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections