Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 28, 2026 · Peter Lambert vs Reid Detmers · 75°F

4.7% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Houston Astros win

46.2%

Los Angeles Angels win

53.8%

Fair line (home)

-116

Proj. total

9.44

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Houston Astros (mean 4.62)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.82)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.44

Over

55.0%

Under

45.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Houston Astros	46.2%	-108	+116
Los Angeles Angels	53.8%	-100	-116

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	4.8	.795	.201	.011	.153	.333	.947	.263	.327	.418	.744
Yordan Alvarez	4.7	.664	.194	.006	.301	.697	.899	.294	.408	.574	.982
Isaac Paredes	4.6	.570	.163	.006	.208	.571	.866	.240	.352	.443	.796
Christian Walker	4.5	.516	.160	.010	.220	.434	1.216	.226	.311	.435	.746
Jose Altuve	4.4	.657	.154	.012	.150	.422	.916	.246	.324	.406	.730
Cam Smith	4.3	.575	.157	.019	.140	.412	1.175	.232	.315	.392	.708
Taylor Trammell	4.2	.437	.138	.021	.139	.489	1.415	.201	.302	.364	.666
Zach Dezenzo	4.1	.524	.144	.005	.108	.412	1.322	.216	.302	.348	.650
Christian Vázquez	4.0	.580	.124	.004	.090	.298	.853	.220	.285	.331	.616

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.7	.603	.193	.015	.236	.434	1.222	.253	.338	.478	.816
Mike Trout	4.6	.530	.134	.011	.259	.787	1.237	.251	.389	.501	.890
Nolan Schanuel	4.5	.754	.174	.006	.141	.549	.620	.280	.379	.439	.818
Jorge Soler	4.3	.504	.151	.009	.211	.520	1.206	.231	.332	.443	.775
Vaughn Grissom	4.2	.724	.190	.006	.111	.381	.745	.271	.345	.411	.756
Wade Meckler	4.1	.706	.157	.014	.066	.492	.891	.260	.352	.366	.718
Jo Adell	4.0	.539	.149	.011	.245	.276	.980	.257	.321	.503	.824
Oswald Peraza	3.9	.569	.120	.017	.128	.279	1.031	.233	.298	.383	.681
Logan O'Hoppe	3.8	.537	.099	.007	.163	.316	1.004	.234	.306	.409	.716

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections