Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 29, 2026 · Hayden Wesneski vs Grayson Rodriguez · 78°F

1.7% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Houston Astros win

52.9%

Los Angeles Angels win

47.1%

Fair line (home)

+112

Proj. total

9.25

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Houston Astros (mean 4.88)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.37)

Totals

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

9.25

Over

42.3%

Under

57.7%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Houston Astros	52.9%	-126	-112
Los Angeles Angels	47.1%	+116	+112

Houston Astros — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	4.9	.834	.207	.011	.152	.333	.902	.271	.333	.425	.758
Yordan Alvarez	4.8	.680	.204	.007	.302	.714	.849	.300	.414	.583	.996
Isaac Paredes	4.7	.601	.173	.006	.203	.559	.815	.246	.352	.445	.798
Christian Walker	4.5	.546	.164	.010	.226	.427	1.156	.233	.316	.446	.763
Jose Altuve	4.4	.702	.164	.011	.154	.428	.859	.259	.335	.422	.758
Taylor Trammell	4.3	.471	.150	.020	.151	.504	1.413	.209	.308	.378	.686
Yainer Diaz	4.2	.701	.173	.011	.169	.207	.754	.265	.305	.441	.746
Cam Smith	4.1	.575	.151	.020	.130	.389	1.058	.239	.319	.397	.716
Lucas Spence	4.0	.504	.143	.029	.085	.376	1.183	.214	.298	.342	.640

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.6	.573	.190	.015	.240	.365	1.290	.245	.321	.472	.793
Mike Trout	4.5	.513	.131	.010	.258	.695	1.307	.243	.368	.490	.858
Nolan Schanuel	4.4	.755	.174	.004	.136	.473	.653	.277	.366	.431	.796
Vaughn Grissom	4.3	.713	.190	.005	.110	.348	.836	.262	.332	.398	.730
Jo Adell	4.2	.554	.142	.015	.247	.244	1.096	.247	.303	.482	.786
Wade Meckler	4.1	.680	.149	.014	.069	.421	.980	.251	.332	.356	.689
Denzer Guzman	4.0	.577	.149	.012	.123	.301	1.077	.236	.299	.385	.684
Josh Lowe	3.9	.528	.159	.012	.147	.320	1.120	.240	.308	.418	.725
Tyler Heineman	3.7	.541	.106	.013	.065	.292	.901	.215	.293	.312	.605

Data notes: away starter Hayden Wesneski: only 0 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Hayden Wesneski: only 0 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections