Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

July 27, 2026 · Tatsuya Imai vs Walbert Ureña · 78°F

5.3% edge · Houston Astros

Houston Astros win

55.7%

Los Angeles Angels win

44.3%

Fair line (home)

+126

Proj. total

9.79

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Houston Astros (mean 5.28)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.50)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.79

Over

57.9%

Under

42.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Houston Astros	55.7%	-106	-126
Los Angeles Angels	44.3%	-102	+126

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	5.0	.888	.223	.014	.138	.422	.783	.280	.355	.428	.783
Yordan Alvarez	4.9	.723	.215	.007	.277	.858	.739	.307	.438	.573	1.012
Isaac Paredes	4.8	.651	.178	.007	.188	.703	.690	.257	.385	.447	.833
LaMonte Wade Jr.	4.7	.598	.143	.015	.116	.854	1.040	.230	.379	.368	.746
Jose Altuve	4.6	.732	.182	.012	.136	.530	.775	.264	.356	.417	.773
Taylor Trammell	4.5	.509	.157	.021	.141	.634	1.281	.218	.337	.382	.718
Christian Walker	4.4	.554	.160	.009	.197	.504	.976	.242	.341	.445	.786
Lucas Spence	4.3	.570	.156	.029	.077	.477	1.118	.224	.323	.344	.667
Christian Vázquez	4.2	.630	.146	.006	.081	.361	.728	.230	.304	.337	.640

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.7	.584	.185	.014	.205	.465	1.319	.240	.332	.441	.773
Mike Trout	4.6	.497	.135	.010	.230	.821	1.316	.237	.383	.466	.849
Nolan Schanuel	4.5	.741	.172	.005	.127	.582	.675	.275	.382	.423	.805
Jorge Soler	4.3	.491	.141	.009	.202	.534	1.304	.224	.327	.427	.754
Vaughn Grissom	4.2	.703	.175	.005	.095	.402	.820	.259	.339	.383	.722
Josh Lowe	4.1	.579	.164	.011	.150	.396	1.198	.243	.320	.414	.734
Jo Adell	4.0	.517	.140	.013	.216	.284	1.062	.241	.310	.463	.773
Denzer Guzman	3.9	.554	.147	.011	.110	.348	1.078	.232	.306	.373	.679
Tyler Heineman	3.8	.554	.107	.013	.062	.335	.909	.217	.303	.312	.615

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections