Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

August 24, 2026 · Parker Messick vs George Klassen · 80°F

4.0% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Cleveland Guardians win

56.5%

Los Angeles Angels win

43.5%

Fair line (home)

+130

Proj. total

9.05

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.97)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.07)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

9.05

Over

59.4%

Under

40.6%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	56.5%	-161	-130
Los Angeles Angels	43.5%	+148	+130

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Parker Messick LHP · Cleveland Guardians	5.4	5.9	5.3	1.7	2.4
George Klassen RHP · Los Angeles Angels	4.4	3.0	4.8	2.2	2.3

Strikeout ladder

Parker Messick4+ 85%6+ 54%8+ 23%

George Klassen4+ 35%6+ 7%8+ 1%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Cleveland Guardians — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.9	.934	.191	.022	.073	.626	.416	.285	.380	.392	.772
Chase DeLauter	4.8	.828	.230	.014	.166	.569	.651	.293	.379	.472	.851
José Ramírez	4.7	.719	.217	.014	.192	.566	.515	.278	.369	.478	.847
Jo Adell	4.6	.613	.188	.015	.235	.343	1.050	.251	.319	.472	.792
Nathaniel Lowe	4.5	.686	.174	.009	.148	.596	.967	.263	.365	.427	.792
Angel Genao	4.4	.775	.193	.019	.086	.402	.748	.271	.343	.395	.738
Petey Halpin	4.3	.647	.158	.039	.097	.317	.977	.239	.300	.374	.674
Austin Hedges	4.2	.607	.128	.005	.109	.422	.837	.229	.314	.355	.669
Brayan Rocchio	4.0	.658	.164	.025	.088	.361	.610	.258	.335	.389	.724

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.6	.600	.191	.018	.194	.357	1.279	.244	.318	.441	.759
Mike Trout	4.5	.562	.152	.007	.219	.652	1.266	.251	.369	.471	.840
Vaughn Grissom	4.3	.770	.198	.006	.104	.294	.852	.269	.326	.399	.725
Moisés Ballesteros	4.3	.716	.184	.008	.131	.354	.808	.269	.334	.422	.756
Jose Siri	4.2	.519	.143	.018	.162	.259	1.440	.219	.275	.391	.667
Gustavo Campero	4.0	.624	.153	.012	.126	.229	.848	.247	.310	.397	.707
Christian Moore	3.9	.561	.139	.026	.105	.383	1.230	.237	.317	.380	.697
Denzer Guzman	3.8	.561	.146	.012	.123	.246	1.027	.239	.294	.391	.685
Travis d'Arnaud	3.7	.471	.147	.007	.115	.238	1.075	.218	.278	.366	.644

Data notes: home starter George Klassen: only 55 BF vs LHB this season · home starter George Klassen: only 46 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections