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1.5% edge · Los Angeles AngelsKansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds
August 16, 2026 · Noah Cameron vs Ryan Johnson · 77°F
Kansas City Royals win
49.8%
Los Angeles Angels win
50.2%
Fair line (home)
-101
Proj. total
9.45
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Kansas City Royals (mean 4.83)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.62)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
9.45
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 49.8% | -110 | +101 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 50.2% | +101 | -101 |
Kansas City Royals — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Jensen | 4.8 | .669 | .218 | .015 | .194 | .460 | 1.174 | .252 | .326 | .443 | .769 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 4.7 | .788 | .246 | .032 | .224 | .391 | .729 | .300 | .364 | .528 | .892 |
| Jac Caglianone | 4.6 | .681 | .189 | .023 | .228 | .355 | 1.094 | .266 | .330 | .483 | .813 |
| Salvador Perez | 4.5 | .702 | .182 | .003 | .220 | .213 | .838 | .262 | .308 | .462 | .770 |
| Michael Massey | 4.4 | .739 | .221 | .009 | .136 | .225 | .697 | .267 | .310 | .423 | .733 |
| Nick Loftin | 4.3 | .668 | .184 | .025 | .105 | .426 | .594 | .257 | .340 | .401 | .742 |
| Isaac Collins | 4.2 | .615 | .180 | .018 | .090 | .497 | .878 | .249 | .349 | .383 | .732 |
| John Rave | 4.1 | .572 | .152 | .029 | .118 | .401 | .976 | .238 | .317 | .393 | .710 |
| Kyle Isbel | 4.0 | .653 | .176 | .034 | .083 | .253 | .762 | .257 | .311 | .392 | .703 |
Los Angeles Angels — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto | 4.7 | .655 | .218 | .018 | .220 | .377 | 1.095 | .266 | .340 | .485 | .826 |
| Mike Trout | 4.5 | .580 | .155 | .009 | .247 | .707 | 1.137 | .263 | .386 | .505 | .891 |
| Vaughn Grissom | 4.4 | .826 | .217 | .006 | .104 | .344 | .713 | .286 | .350 | .420 | .770 |
| Jose Siri | 4.3 | .596 | .170 | .029 | .188 | .296 | 1.294 | .247 | .306 | .445 | .751 |
| Wade Meckler | 4.2 | .800 | .182 | .016 | .066 | .438 | .825 | .283 | .362 | .393 | .754 |
| Denzer Guzman | 4.1 | .666 | .180 | .013 | .114 | .307 | .954 | .257 | .317 | .402 | .720 |
| Oswald Peraza | 4.0 | .645 | .135 | .019 | .123 | .255 | .952 | .250 | .308 | .396 | .704 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | 3.9 | .550 | .173 | .007 | .134 | .267 | .964 | .241 | .303 | .406 | .709 |
| Josh Lowe | 3.8 | .598 | .183 | .013 | .141 | .301 | .938 | .271 | .333 | .454 | .787 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections