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1.8% edge · Los Angeles AngelsKansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds
August 15, 2026 · Randy Dobnak vs Reid Detmers · 76°F
Kansas City Royals win
39.7%
Los Angeles Angels win
60.3%
Fair line (home)
-152
Proj. total
9.43
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Kansas City Royals (mean 4.29)Los Angeles Angels (mean 5.13)
Totals
O/U line
8
Proj. total
9.43
Over
54.8%
Under
37.6%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 39.7% | +136 | +152 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 60.3% | -148 | -152 |
Kansas City Royals — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Loftin | 4.8 | .705 | .205 | .026 | .112 | .534 | .778 | .249 | .343 | .391 | .733 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 4.7 | .721 | .243 | .030 | .210 | .415 | .850 | .285 | .355 | .505 | .861 |
| Jac Caglianone | 4.6 | .641 | .169 | .026 | .206 | .377 | 1.231 | .251 | .321 | .453 | .774 |
| Salvador Perez | 4.5 | .654 | .170 | .003 | .201 | .242 | .952 | .247 | .300 | .435 | .735 |
| Isaac Collins | 4.4 | .596 | .183 | .013 | .079 | .521 | 1.042 | .232 | .337 | .350 | .687 |
| Michael Massey | 4.3 | .679 | .202 | .009 | .132 | .236 | .805 | .257 | .304 | .411 | .715 |
| Starling Marte | 4.1 | .729 | .152 | .011 | .094 | .297 | .999 | .262 | .327 | .383 | .710 |
| Luke Maile | 4.0 | .528 | .143 | .008 | .078 | .418 | 1.203 | .213 | .305 | .324 | .628 |
| Tyler Tolbert | 3.9 | .607 | .144 | .014 | .052 | .275 | 1.027 | .227 | .291 | .319 | .610 |
Los Angeles Angels — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Meckler | 4.8 | .979 | .215 | .019 | .065 | .496 | .780 | .301 | .378 | .406 | .785 |
| Mike Trout | 4.7 | .669 | .168 | .013 | .222 | .761 | .984 | .280 | .407 | .504 | .911 |
| Nolan Schanuel | 4.5 | .896 | .211 | .007 | .111 | .494 | .463 | .307 | .394 | .447 | .841 |
| Zach Neto | 4.4 | .688 | .226 | .019 | .186 | .378 | .909 | .283 | .362 | .491 | .853 |
| Moisés Ballesteros | 4.3 | .834 | .224 | .012 | .104 | .395 | .586 | .301 | .370 | .444 | .813 |
| Josh Lowe | 4.2 | .725 | .224 | .020 | .139 | .360 | .878 | .289 | .354 | .466 | .820 |
| Denzer Guzman | 4.1 | .727 | .187 | .015 | .104 | .315 | .822 | .274 | .335 | .414 | .749 |
| Adam Frazier | 4.0 | .737 | .166 | .012 | .053 | .309 | .610 | .267 | .335 | .363 | .698 |
| Tyler Heineman | 3.9 | .683 | .129 | .020 | .055 | .302 | .660 | .253 | .328 | .348 | .676 |
Data notes: away starter Randy Dobnak: only 60 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections