Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

August 26, 2026 · Joey Cantillo vs Grayson Rodriguez · 91°F

1.6% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Cleveland Guardians win

54.6%

Los Angeles Angels win

45.4%

Fair line (home)

+120

Proj. total

8.72

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.70)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.02)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.72

Over

47.8%

Under

52.3%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	54.6%	-134	-120
Los Angeles Angels	45.4%	+124	+120

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Joey Cantillo LHP · Cleveland Guardians	4.8	5.9	4.4	2.0	2.1
Grayson Rodriguez RHP · Los Angeles Angels	4.8	4.1	5.0	1.8	2.3

Strikeout ladder

Joey Cantillo4+ 86%6+ 55%8+ 23%

Grayson Rodriguez4+ 59%6+ 21%8+ 4%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Cleveland Guardians — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.9	.917	.194	.020	.081	.540	.467	.283	.367	.394	.761
Travis Bazzana	4.8	.669	.190	.033	.130	.554	1.127	.247	.342	.403	.745
José Ramírez	4.6	.714	.210	.016	.207	.498	.565	.279	.363	.490	.852
Jo Adell	4.5	.597	.172	.014	.248	.290	1.136	.247	.308	.474	.783
Nathaniel Lowe	4.4	.668	.159	.007	.168	.529	1.065	.259	.352	.434	.786
Angel Martínez	4.3	.642	.197	.018	.140	.229	.933	.247	.297	.410	.707
Angel Genao	4.2	.728	.187	.019	.094	.337	.795	.268	.332	.401	.733
Austin Hedges	4.1	.595	.116	.007	.108	.354	.906	.223	.297	.346	.643
Brayan Rocchio	4.0	.613	.163	.024	.096	.306	.673	.248	.319	.386	.705

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.6	.585	.188	.017	.202	.428	1.334	.243	.327	.446	.773
Mike Trout	4.5	.528	.138	.008	.220	.767	1.306	.245	.382	.468	.850
Vaughn Grissom	4.4	.745	.189	.006	.114	.355	.901	.265	.332	.402	.734
Christian Moore	4.3	.582	.147	.026	.116	.493	1.389	.233	.327	.380	.707
Jose Siri	4.2	.495	.150	.017	.177	.308	1.474	.220	.285	.408	.693
Josh Lowe	4.0	.552	.165	.011	.152	.382	1.195	.241	.315	.416	.732
Denzer Guzman	3.9	.556	.151	.010	.130	.295	1.089	.234	.297	.390	.687
Tyler Heineman	3.8	.589	.110	.020	.063	.283	.837	.226	.298	.323	.621
Bryce Teodosio	3.7	.528	.129	.022	.065	.209	1.223	.216	.269	.323	.592

Data notes: game-time temp 91F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections