New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

September 2, 2026 · Cam Schlittler vs Reid Detmers · 73°F

5.0% edge · Los Angeles Angels

New York Yankees win

54.5%

Los Angeles Angels win

45.5%

Fair line (home)

+120

Proj. total

7.75

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Yankees (mean 4.19)Los Angeles Angels (mean 3.57)

Totals

O/U line

6.5

Proj. total

7.75

Over

57.7%

Under

42.3%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Yankees	54.5%	-155	-120
Los Angeles Angels	45.5%	+142	+120

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Cam Schlittler RHP · New York Yankees	5.4	6.7	4.6	1.9	2.0
Reid Detmers LHP · Los Angeles Angels	5.4	6.5	4.8	1.9	2.2

Strikeout ladder

Cam Schlittler4+ 92%6+ 68%8+ 35%

Reid Detmers4+ 90%6+ 65%8+ 32%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

New York Yankees — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Paul Goldschmidt	4.7	.690	.173	.010	.157	.411	1.232	.241	.313	.396	.709
Cody Bellinger	4.6	.674	.171	.025	.178	.470	.821	.255	.334	.438	.773
Heliot Ramos	4.5	.625	.152	.016	.188	.359	1.276	.240	.310	.422	.732
Ben Rice	4.4	.485	.146	.017	.263	.506	1.112	.237	.332	.488	.820
Amed Rosario	4.3	.726	.161	.023	.107	.212	1.006	.250	.293	.380	.673
Spencer Jones	4.2	.476	.150	.012	.200	.348	1.609	.220	.290	.422	.713
José Caballero	4.1	.551	.144	.005	.096	.384	1.131	.219	.306	.341	.647
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.0	.487	.106	.013	.180	.412	1.195	.223	.310	.414	.723
Ali Sánchez	3.9	.530	.116	.005	.091	.256	1.023	.208	.267	.319	.586

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.5	.536	.173	.017	.187	.344	1.363	.225	.301	.415	.716
Mike Trout	4.4	.505	.130	.007	.201	.631	1.365	.228	.347	.429	.777
Wade Meckler	4.3	.718	.155	.012	.060	.401	1.049	.245	.320	.338	.658
Vaughn Grissom	4.2	.664	.165	.005	.099	.284	.903	.242	.303	.365	.667
Moisés Ballesteros	4.1	.625	.156	.007	.117	.329	.849	.243	.309	.384	.693
Christian Moore	4.0	.515	.127	.025	.106	.371	1.329	.217	.297	.357	.654
Josh Lowe	3.9	.500	.147	.010	.137	.295	1.190	.224	.288	.387	.675
Oswald Peraza	3.7	.501	.106	.013	.104	.215	1.129	.209	.266	.337	.603
Travis d'Arnaud	3.6	.425	.120	.005	.113	.222	1.132	.199	.259	.340	.599

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections