Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

September 14, 2026 · Kade Anderson vs Reid Detmers · 72°F

6.2% edge · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners win

56.2%

Los Angeles Angels win

43.8%

Fair line (home)

+128

Proj. total

7.96

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Seattle Mariners (mean 4.37)Los Angeles Angels (mean 3.59)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.96

Over

48.2%

Under

51.8%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Seattle Mariners	56.2%	-104	-128
Los Angeles Angels	43.8%	-104	+128

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Kade Anderson LHP · Seattle Mariners	5.2	6.6	4.5	1.5	2.0
Reid Detmers LHP · Los Angeles Angels	5.4	6.1	4.8	1.9	2.3

Strikeout ladder

Kade Anderson4+ 92%6+ 67%8+ 34%

Reid Detmers4+ 87%6+ 58%8+ 26%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Seattle Mariners — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
J.P. Crawford	4.8	.682	.165	.004	.108	.612	1.092	.232	.338	.353	.691
Randy Arozarena	4.7	.604	.181	.008	.186	.485	1.277	.242	.342	.428	.770
Dominic Canzone	4.6	.617	.169	.019	.203	.365	1.169	.242	.308	.438	.745
Cal Raleigh	4.5	.426	.120	.002	.252	.513	1.421	.206	.306	.432	.738
Julio Rodríguez	4.3	.662	.157	.011	.205	.333	1.083	.261	.326	.462	.788
Josh Naylor	4.2	.712	.158	.003	.153	.345	.711	.266	.331	.427	.758
Michael Arroyo	4.1	.571	.142	.025	.115	.281	1.028	.227	.296	.369	.665
Cole Young	4.0	.607	.130	.029	.109	.334	.786	.242	.315	.384	.699
Weston Wilson	3.9	.449	.110	.007	.130	.352	1.282	.198	.277	.344	.620

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.5	.587	.180	.017	.193	.296	1.344	.238	.303	.432	.734
Mike Trout	4.4	.539	.144	.005	.202	.577	1.341	.238	.347	.441	.788
Jose Siri	4.3	.519	.144	.015	.167	.254	1.559	.212	.267	.382	.649
Vaughn Grissom	4.2	.679	.179	.003	.115	.268	.897	.253	.310	.391	.701
Christian Moore	4.1	.545	.137	.029	.108	.349	1.358	.222	.295	.363	.658
Denzer Guzman	4.0	.557	.152	.009	.137	.236	1.154	.231	.281	.388	.669
Travis d'Arnaud	3.9	.482	.139	.006	.120	.230	1.214	.209	.265	.351	.617
Kyren Paris	3.7	.427	.110	.011	.104	.308	1.424	.193	.266	.324	.590
Wade Meckler	3.6	.664	.137	.008	.051	.312	.824	.264	.332	.358	.691

Data notes: away starter Kade Anderson: only 20 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Kade Anderson: only 67 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections