Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels — Prediction & Odds

September 20, 2026 · Dean Kremer vs Ryan Johnson · 71°F

0.8% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Minnesota Twins win

50.6%

Los Angeles Angels win

49.4%

Fair line (home)

+102

Proj. total

8.83

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.58)Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.25)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.83

Over

49.1%

Under

43.1%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	50.6%	-110	-102
Los Angeles Angels	49.4%	+102	+102

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Dean Kremer RHP · Minnesota Twins	4.8	5.1	4.9	1.7	2.3
Ryan Johnson RHP · Los Angeles Angels	4.5	3.7	4.5	1.5	2.2

Strikeout ladder

Dean Kremer4+ 76%6+ 40%8+ 12%

Ryan Johnson4+ 52%6+ 16%8+ 2%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Minnesota Twins — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Walker Jenkins	4.8	.736	.205	.029	.151	.458	.947	.261	.339	.428	.767
Brooks Lee	4.7	.753	.168	.025	.179	.299	.726	.258	.310	.431	.741
Kody Clemens	4.6	.588	.163	.045	.236	.329	.991	.245	.307	.474	.781
Josh Bell	4.5	.676	.158	.010	.174	.429	.834	.254	.332	.429	.761
Alan Roden	4.4	.708	.185	.013	.125	.408	.742	.264	.344	.415	.758
Royce Lewis	4.3	.594	.189	.007	.193	.341	.914	.251	.315	.451	.767
Victor Caratini	4.2	.669	.127	.005	.116	.354	.757	.247	.328	.378	.706
Emmanuel Rodriguez	4.0	.505	.126	.030	.139	.539	1.250	.231	.342	.406	.748
Ben Ross	3.9	.476	.160	.013	.114	.320	1.068	.213	.283	.360	.643

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.6	.629	.197	.027	.207	.355	1.231	.254	.325	.463	.788
Mike Trout	4.5	.584	.154	.006	.206	.665	1.204	.252	.371	.460	.831
Wade Meckler	4.4	.840	.185	.013	.067	.417	.866	.280	.352	.385	.738
Vaughn Grissom	4.3	.721	.193	.006	.120	.293	.818	.264	.323	.407	.731
Moisés Ballesteros	4.2	.690	.167	.007	.135	.342	.809	.262	.327	.417	.743
Denzer Guzman	4.1	.619	.167	.009	.140	.262	1.047	.247	.299	.406	.706
Josh Lowe	4.0	.573	.160	.010	.149	.317	1.108	.247	.311	.420	.730
Jose Siri	3.8	.494	.133	.016	.158	.249	1.267	.225	.283	.405	.688
Christian Moore	3.7	.522	.128	.026	.097	.343	1.123	.231	.307	.371	.678

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections