Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

July 6, 2026 · Kyle Freeland vs Eric Lauer · 74°F

6.4% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Colorado Rockies win

25.8%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

74.2%

Fair line (home)

-288

Proj. total

11.03

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.32)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 6.71)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

11.03

Over

46.7%

Under

46.4%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	25.8%	+204	+288
Los Angeles Dodgers	74.2%	-226	-288

Colorado Rockies — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Willi Castro	4.8	.704	.173	.018	.129	.351	1.127	.239	.313	.378	.692
Kyle Karros	4.6	.714	.200	.013	.112	.472	1.048	.252	.335	.389	.724
Hunter Goodman	4.5	.545	.181	.021	.311	.307	1.250	.253	.310	.529	.839
TJ Rumfield	4.4	.663	.169	.010	.168	.395	.847	.254	.328	.428	.756
Cole Carrigg	4.3	.675	.140	.037	.108	.280	.967	.241	.299	.376	.675
Tyler Freeman	4.2	.731	.162	.016	.087	.325	.569	.264	.340	.385	.725
Jake McCarthy	4.1	.672	.140	.047	.108	.299	.740	.258	.321	.407	.728
Troy Johnston	4.0	.612	.172	.017	.115	.279	.845	.250	.313	.401	.714
Ezequiel Tovar	3.9	.554	.175	.017	.146	.214	.979	.245	.291	.424	.715

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.8	.754	.218	.053	.370	.605	.936	.333	.421	.675	1.096
Andy Pages	4.7	.862	.262	.015	.267	.254	.742	.319	.363	.566	.929
Freddie Freeman	4.6	.900	.273	.017	.211	.446	.643	.342	.414	.571	.985
Mookie Betts	4.5	.848	.233	.024	.209	.422	.401	.325	.393	.550	.943
Kyle Tucker	4.4	.747	.215	.024	.222	.521	.556	.315	.400	.557	.957
Teoscar Hernández	4.3	.778	.212	.009	.224	.279	.899	.309	.361	.537	.898
Max Muncy	4.2	.587	.161	.011	.251	.549	.825	.284	.387	.546	.933
Miguel Rojas	4.1	.847	.219	.006	.093	.242	.417	.308	.355	.443	.798
Dalton Rushing	4.0	.630	.178	.008	.205	.341	.853	.288	.360	.516	.876

Data notes: home starter Eric Lauer: only 54 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Kyle Freeland: only 73 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections