Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

July 7, 2026 · Michael Lorenzen vs Justin Wrobleski · 75°F

2.1% edge · Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies win

30.1%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

69.9%

Fair line (home)

-233

Proj. total

10.78

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.44)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 6.34)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

10.78

Over

49.9%

Under

50.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	30.1%	+249	+233
Los Angeles Dodgers	69.9%	-280	-233

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Willi Castro	4.8	.739	.184	.021	.115	.357	1.058	.246	.321	.379	.700
Kyle Karros	4.7	.756	.211	.015	.104	.477	.980	.262	.344	.396	.741
Hunter Goodman	4.5	.573	.192	.021	.287	.318	1.175	.256	.314	.517	.832
Cole Carrigg	4.4	.746	.153	.042	.101	.278	.941	.254	.309	.385	.694
Jake McCarthy	4.3	.750	.155	.056	.101	.304	.717	.268	.328	.411	.740
Tyler Freeman	4.2	.749	.172	.015	.081	.311	.528	.268	.343	.385	.728
Ezequiel Tovar	4.1	.619	.196	.018	.143	.234	.955	.252	.299	.423	.722
Mickey Moniak	4.0	.564	.150	.043	.211	.221	.932	.258	.306	.490	.796
Braxton Fulford	3.9	.524	.155	.021	.125	.331	1.020	.235	.312	.398	.710

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.8	.735	.206	.049	.357	.714	.943	.329	.432	.664	1.097
Andy Pages	4.7	.835	.252	.016	.253	.305	.771	.311	.364	.550	.913
Freddie Freeman	4.6	.869	.263	.017	.201	.516	.651	.334	.416	.556	.973
Max Muncy	4.5	.610	.167	.012	.264	.680	.917	.279	.396	.540	.936
Tommy Edman	4.4	.829	.193	.023	.143	.298	.673	.293	.349	.458	.807
Kyle Tucker	4.3	.674	.209	.021	.213	.580	.573	.303	.401	.544	.945
Dalton Rushing	4.2	.660	.162	.010	.206	.422	.932	.281	.364	.498	.862
Alex Freeland	4.1	.659	.161	.020	.127	.449	.889	.270	.358	.433	.791
Miguel Rojas	4.0	.806	.192	.005	.090	.275	.434	.299	.355	.429	.784

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections