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1.3% edge · Los Angeles DodgersColorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds
July 8, 2026 · Gabriel Hughes vs Roki Sasaki · 76°F
Colorado Rockies win
29.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers win
70.7%
Fair line (home)
-242
Proj. total
10.16
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Colorado Rockies (mean 4.11)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 6.05)
Totals
O/U line
10
Proj. total
10.16
Over
43.3%
Under
48.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 29.3% | +220 | +242 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 70.7% | -245 | -242 |
Colorado Rockies — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy | 4.8 | .782 | .164 | .059 | .101 | .369 | .904 | .256 | .326 | .392 | .718 |
| Mickey Moniak | 4.7 | .650 | .178 | .051 | .221 | .266 | 1.217 | .254 | .305 | .471 | .776 |
| Cole Carrigg | 4.5 | .719 | .146 | .064 | .096 | .334 | 1.076 | .248 | .314 | .384 | .697 |
| TJ Rumfield | 4.4 | .677 | .176 | .013 | .135 | .421 | .891 | .254 | .335 | .408 | .742 |
| Kyle Karros | 4.3 | .672 | .194 | .011 | .082 | .469 | 1.048 | .252 | .341 | .373 | .714 |
| Troy Johnston | 4.2 | .656 | .178 | .019 | .098 | .326 | .949 | .248 | .319 | .382 | .701 |
| Edouard Julien | 4.1 | .547 | .126 | .017 | .105 | .593 | 1.237 | .228 | .347 | .365 | .712 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 4.0 | .579 | .172 | .020 | .122 | .239 | 1.062 | .239 | .290 | .393 | .683 |
| Brett Sullivan | 3.9 | .533 | .151 | .028 | .074 | .280 | .762 | .220 | .284 | .340 | .624 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.8 | .708 | .212 | .050 | .324 | .697 | .989 | .317 | .421 | .632 | 1.052 |
| Tommy Edman | 4.7 | .867 | .210 | .025 | .137 | .324 | .730 | .287 | .344 | .442 | .786 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.6 | .851 | .260 | .017 | .186 | .499 | .708 | .326 | .408 | .537 | .945 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.5 | .803 | .219 | .025 | .182 | .487 | .448 | .311 | .390 | .517 | .907 |
| Max Muncy | 4.4 | .582 | .156 | .010 | .235 | .659 | .941 | .269 | .388 | .509 | .897 |
| Teoscar Hernández | 4.3 | .734 | .205 | .009 | .206 | .320 | .976 | .296 | .356 | .512 | .869 |
| Kyle Tucker | 4.2 | .650 | .188 | .023 | .191 | .574 | .581 | .296 | .398 | .523 | .921 |
| Alex Call | 4.0 | .689 | .181 | .013 | .097 | .501 | .641 | .280 | .379 | .423 | .802 |
| Eliezer Alfonzo | 3.9 | .754 | .164 | .006 | .068 | .267 | .439 | .273 | .328 | .377 | .705 |
Data notes: away starter Gabriel Hughes: only 5 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Gabriel Hughes: only 6 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections