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7.7% edge · Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds
July 12, 2026 · Mitch Bratt vs Emmet Sheehan · 69°F
Arizona Diamondbacks win
41.4%
Los Angeles Dodgers win
58.6%
Fair line (home)
-142
Proj. total
9.2
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 4.33)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.86)
Totals
O/U line
9.5
Proj. total
9.2
Over
44.6%
Under
55.4%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 41.4% | +191 | +142 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 58.6% | -211 | -142 |
Arizona Diamondbacks — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 4.8 | .663 | .183 | .028 | .229 | .498 | .889 | .260 | .346 | .479 | .825 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.7 | .686 | .152 | .036 | .110 | .610 | .763 | .246 | .354 | .384 | .738 |
| Corbin Carroll | 4.6 | .521 | .145 | .077 | .202 | .541 | 1.152 | .239 | .338 | .467 | .805 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 4.5 | .717 | .173 | .009 | .134 | .493 | .884 | .263 | .352 | .414 | .766 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 4.4 | .649 | .173 | .013 | .144 | .276 | .882 | .242 | .298 | .398 | .696 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 4.3 | .689 | .151 | .030 | .080 | .263 | .575 | .241 | .296 | .355 | .651 |
| Nolan Arenado | 4.1 | .577 | .144 | .008 | .141 | .322 | .864 | .230 | .298 | .385 | .682 |
| Tim Tawa | 4.0 | .480 | .128 | .021 | .134 | .361 | 1.141 | .210 | .287 | .367 | .655 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 3.9 | .507 | .144 | .025 | .065 | .397 | 1.180 | .215 | .308 | .329 | .637 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.7 | .652 | .167 | .046 | .275 | .625 | 1.081 | .286 | .387 | .557 | .944 |
| Andy Pages | 4.5 | .727 | .208 | .013 | .180 | .283 | .881 | .268 | .323 | .452 | .775 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.4 | .751 | .222 | .016 | .153 | .449 | .754 | .291 | .370 | .472 | .842 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.3 | .709 | .204 | .016 | .156 | .436 | .487 | .281 | .358 | .463 | .821 |
| Tommy Edman | 4.2 | .698 | .164 | .022 | .104 | .270 | .770 | .253 | .310 | .387 | .697 |
| Kyle Tucker | 4.1 | .608 | .165 | .023 | .158 | .528 | .665 | .268 | .367 | .461 | .828 |
| Teoscar Hernández | 4.0 | .626 | .167 | .008 | .173 | .273 | 1.014 | .263 | .319 | .452 | .771 |
| Max Muncy | 3.9 | .475 | .133 | .013 | .176 | .523 | .895 | .240 | .351 | .447 | .798 |
| Eliezer Alfonzo | 3.8 | .656 | .152 | .004 | .048 | .220 | .470 | .244 | .294 | .330 | .623 |
Data notes: away starter Mitch Bratt: only 3 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Mitch Bratt: only 10 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections