Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

July 29, 2026 · Emerson Hancock vs Eric Lauer · 76°F

5.2% edge · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners win

43.6%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

56.4%

Fair line (home)

-129

Proj. total

10.33

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Seattle Mariners (mean 4.94)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.39)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

10.33

Over

52.2%

Under

47.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Seattle Mariners	43.6%	+155	+129
Los Angeles Dodgers	56.4%	-170	-129

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Cole Young	4.8	.710	.178	.021	.154	.447	.838	.247	.326	.406	.732
Randy Arozarena	4.7	.594	.176	.011	.214	.497	1.147	.244	.344	.450	.794
Julio Rodríguez	4.6	.706	.163	.011	.297	.349	.952	.281	.343	.537	.880
Dominic Canzone	4.5	.597	.168	.009	.271	.374	.976	.256	.323	.502	.825
Cal Raleigh	4.4	.414	.118	.002	.339	.501	1.198	.228	.324	.526	.850
Josh Naylor	4.3	.648	.162	.004	.210	.384	.620	.266	.337	.474	.811
Rob Refsnyder	4.2	.513	.135	.008	.172	.422	1.137	.224	.311	.404	.715
Weston Wilson	4.0	.464	.112	.009	.164	.396	1.196	.206	.289	.377	.666
Colt Emerson	3.9	.475	.132	.014	.133	.356	1.103	.214	.295	.372	.667

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.7	.629	.169	.041	.330	.653	1.053	.291	.395	.599	.994
Andy Pages	4.6	.696	.207	.013	.219	.299	.890	.268	.327	.478	.804
Freddie Freeman	4.5	.751	.214	.014	.192	.475	.749	.296	.380	.503	.883
Max Muncy	4.4	.505	.142	.013	.227	.613	1.018	.239	.356	.468	.823
Tommy Edman	4.3	.704	.163	.030	.122	.290	.783	.259	.318	.409	.727
Mookie Betts	4.2	.661	.178	.018	.179	.427	.471	.279	.358	.481	.839
Kyle Tucker	4.1	.590	.157	.019	.176	.523	.666	.268	.368	.475	.843
Teoscar Hernández	4.0	.589	.155	.007	.199	.286	1.012	.261	.321	.472	.793
Dalton Rushing	3.8	.520	.144	.006	.163	.366	.978	.244	.327	.433	.760

Data notes: home starter Eric Lauer: only 71 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections