Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

July 31, 2026 · Ranger Suarez vs Edgardo Henriquez · 76°F

6.2% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Boston Red Sox win

39.1%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

60.9%

Fair line (home)

-155

Proj. total

8.88

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Boston Red Sox (mean 4.07)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.81)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.88

Over

49.4%

Under

43.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Boston Red Sox	39.1%	+116	+155
Los Angeles Dodgers	60.9%	-126	-155

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nick Sogard	4.8	.662	.155	.012	.057	.600	1.230	.214	.320	.299	.620
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.7	.660	.191	.030	.137	.281	1.084	.236	.291	.389	.680
Wilyer Abreu	4.5	.556	.172	.019	.179	.549	1.175	.233	.329	.420	.749
Willson Contreras	4.5	.517	.146	.013	.210	.529	1.241	.233	.344	.444	.788
Masataka Yoshida	4.3	.693	.169	.014	.109	.386	.693	.253	.331	.387	.719
Caleb Durbin	4.2	.584	.189	.012	.109	.374	.614	.237	.323	.381	.703
Andruw Monasterio	4.1	.578	.164	.006	.079	.425	1.072	.225	.312	.337	.649
Jarren Duran	4.0	.467	.161	.042	.119	.393	1.147	.221	.306	.389	.695
Carlos Narváez	3.9	.456	.137	.003	.106	.425	1.192	.204	.300	.338	.637

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.6	.641	.177	.042	.275	.641	1.114	.286	.389	.559	.949
Andy Pages	4.5	.724	.215	.013	.181	.297	.942	.271	.326	.458	.785
Miguel Rojas	4.4	.824	.211	.005	.091	.277	.588	.275	.326	.395	.721
Freddie Freeman	4.3	.747	.218	.014	.151	.460	.784	.297	.378	.480	.858
Mookie Betts	4.2	.703	.195	.019	.147	.445	.508	.284	.364	.465	.828
Teoscar Hernández	4.1	.647	.171	.007	.173	.293	1.098	.264	.321	.450	.770
Kyle Tucker	4.0	.601	.153	.018	.153	.525	.695	.268	.368	.455	.823
Enrique Hernández	3.9	.601	.158	.012	.107	.269	.902	.244	.299	.383	.683
Eliezer Alfonzo	3.8	.671	.150	.003	.049	.219	.516	.248	.297	.335	.632

Data notes: home starter Edgardo Henriquez: only 70 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections