Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Prediction & Odds

July 30, 2026 · Bryan Woo vs Roki Sasaki · 74°F

3.7% edge · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners win

46.0%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

54.0%

Fair line (home)

-118

Proj. total

8.96

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Seattle Mariners (mean 4.44)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.52)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.96

Over

50.2%

Under

49.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Seattle Mariners	46.0%	+132	+118
Los Angeles Dodgers	54.0%	-143	-118

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Cole Young	4.8	.700	.170	.018	.120	.483	.929	.239	.328	.373	.702
Randy Arozarena	4.7	.569	.173	.010	.167	.518	1.248	.229	.339	.402	.742
Dominic Canzone	4.5	.597	.165	.008	.231	.399	1.112	.243	.316	.456	.772
Julio Rodríguez	4.5	.650	.163	.011	.221	.363	1.040	.260	.330	.470	.800
Josh Naylor	4.3	.656	.159	.005	.176	.402	.695	.255	.331	.433	.764
Cal Raleigh	4.2	.392	.114	.003	.261	.540	1.278	.210	.319	.457	.776
Luke Raley	4.1	.480	.126	.011	.180	.314	1.352	.217	.304	.404	.708
Weston Wilson	4.0	.458	.114	.008	.131	.414	1.266	.199	.287	.344	.632
Colt Emerson	3.9	.468	.120	.012	.102	.359	1.173	.202	.288	.331	.619

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Tommy Edman	4.5	.728	.169	.028	.132	.244	.913	.249	.298	.395	.692
Andy Pages	4.4	.667	.199	.012	.209	.234	.972	.263	.311	.469	.780
Freddie Freeman	4.3	.692	.207	.012	.185	.392	.833	.283	.356	.485	.842
Max Muncy	4.2	.484	.135	.013	.221	.509	1.084	.232	.334	.457	.791
Mookie Betts	4.1	.642	.189	.017	.182	.363	.537	.275	.343	.480	.823
Kyle Tucker	4.0	.569	.154	.019	.180	.460	.723	.261	.350	.468	.818
Teoscar Hernández	3.9	.574	.148	.008	.191	.231	1.105	.252	.302	.453	.755
Dalton Rushing	3.8	.496	.137	.005	.166	.300	1.095	.233	.304	.420	.724
Enrique Hernández	3.7	.519	.141	.012	.120	.221	.896	.231	.281	.383	.664

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections